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To: minorejoy2000 who wrote (33798)10/20/2000 7:44:52 PM
From: Challo Jeregy  Respond to of 42787
 
Mino - (fwiw) re:

Since there have been some established guidelines to indicate a rally, such as 4th to 7th day confirmations (3 is it?) on increasing volume

Per IBD this am about market moves from Thurs-

The previous rally attempt that began
Oct. 13 was crushed Wednesday when
the indexes sank below that day’s
intraday low. Thursday counts as the
first day of a new rally.
Another big
advance in heavier volume later next
week would offer a confirmation.


Thursday stats -
DJIA +168 (1.7%) vol 1297/1330 (depends on source)
NASD +247 (7.8%) vol 2337/2343 "

Friday stats-
DJIA +83.61 (.82%) vol 1178 (from yhoo)
NASD +64.5 (1.89%) vol 2172.5 "


From the same article -

Investor pessimism has yet to reach
extreme levels. A data error by the
Associated Press sent Wednesday’s
put/call volume ratio soaring to 0.95.
The actual figure was closer to 0.84.
The ratio sank to 0.60 Thursday, which
isn’t reflected on today’s chart.


investors.com

Still, and all, I enjoyed yesterday. <g>



To: minorejoy2000 who wrote (33798)10/20/2000 11:43:41 PM
From: donald sew  Respond to of 42787
 
Minorejoy2000,

>>>> what time frame would you expect retests to occur? Since there have been some established guidelines to indicate a rally, such as 4th to 7th day confirmations (3 is it?) on increasing volume, are there also expectations for retests? <<<<

When I did my analysis on retests of declines greater than 7% I did it over a period of 30 years. Unfortunately all the exact data was lost when I lost my hard drive about a year ago. What I recall is that the majority of the retests occured within 2 months, and I recall a few that lasted about 3 months. I did not make any observation on volume since I did not have that data going that far back.