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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Elmer who wrote (15)	10/22/2000 1:56:40 PM
From: Cisco	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 6710

What is your take on the large number of undecided voter? Very interesting question David. The media keeps talking about the large undecided vote! But is there? I believe it is a myth! Looking at undecided likely voters: Zogby today has it at 8%, Gallup today has it at 5%, ABC today has it at 3%, and Portrait of America today has it at 7%. That would suggest that the undecided vote among likely voters is around 6 percent. And of course only likely voters count! I believe there will be a record low voter turn out this election. I also disagree with NCAAP, I don't think there will be a larger than normal Black vote. Bush doesn't threaten the Blacks as much as previous Republican candidates. I believe as a percentage Republicans will turn out the vote more than Democrats this election. They have been waiting a long time for a opportunity to get rid of this administration and now they have a chance. Finally, I believe most polls underestimate the conservative vote by 1 to 2 percentage points because a lot of conservatives don't participate in polls because of their strong belief in the right to privacy. All considered, I believe the undecided vote will break for the Republicans! Some may argue the vote of decided voters is soft, but I don't believe this is the case on the whole. I believe all these focus groups of undecided voters are a joke! There aren't that many undecided voters out there.<g>