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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (49000)10/22/2000 11:33:03 PM
From: bobby beara  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
>>>>>ratio of margin debt is attributed to long positions vs. short positions???>>>>

jxm, does it really matter?, the use of margin is a sign of speculative excess, whether it be short or long, but if you look at the trend of margin debt with the trend of sNp, i think u have to conclude that most of that margin debt is long, over the last decade people who have been margined short have been destroyed (until this year -g-)

b



To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (49000)10/25/2000 9:05:15 AM
From: nextrade!  Respond to of 94695
 
Jorj,

This is a great question.

I feel the retail investor makes up for much of the debt on the long side, but we know that the largest banks and institutions are heavily involved in massive derivative positions that are wrapped around the markets.

Regardless, probability suggests that these margin levels will retract with the end result being painful for many.

FWIW, A reasonable read is that by Nicholas Dunbar, about LTC and it's make-up, called Inventing Money.

These are interesting times, and history may be of value here! <g>

Regards,

nextrade!