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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: quasar_1 who wrote (153)10/24/2000 2:22:58 PM
From: excardog  Respond to of 74559
 
quasar:

Regarding high oil prices look over the following

Exxon Mobil Corporation Announces Estimated Third Quarter 2000 Results
IRVING, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Oct. 24, 2000--Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:XOM - news):

Third Quarter Nine Months
2000 1999 2000 1999
Net Income
$ Millions 4,490 2,188 12,500 5,626
$ Per Common Share
Assuming Dilution 1.28 0.62 3.55 1.60

Earnings Excluding
Merger Effects/Special Items
$ Millions 4,290 2,205 11,790 5,671
$ Per Common Share
Assuming Dilution 1.22 0.62 3.35 1.61

Revenue - $ Millions 58,852 48,986 168,889 130,945

Capital & Exploration
Expenditures - $ Millions 2,646 2,935 7,294 9,850

The interesting data besides corporate Americas largest quarterly profit is in the last column Capital & Exploration you will notice 2000 expense trails 1999 by roughly 2.6 billion or 26%. 1999 was a very soft year for capex due to the very depressed price of oil.

So here we are October 2000, $33 dollars a barrel for oil and XOM the largest oil company in the world hasn't spent anywhere near last years budget and has just recorded a 4 billion dollar profit. There is a fly in the ointment here.

Chevron and Texaco are to merge. Chevron has stated they are not at this time going to raise capex. I guess absorbing Texaco's assets are cheaper then drilling.

I'm still trying to digest what all this means but with the world using 77 or 78 million barrels a day in oil it would on the surface suggest that oil companies might need to start searching for some. I doubt these wells are bottomless.

Something to think about.