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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: mike60613 who wrote (51659)	10/24/2000 4:35:23 PM
From: microhoogle!	Respond to of 769667

Gallup/CNN also swings very wide and hence noise IMO. But good to see it start swinging away from Bush.

To: mike60613 who wrote (51659)	10/24/2000 4:36:44 PM
From: Neocon	Respond to of 769667

Glad to oblige: Tracking poll: Presidential race tied By CNN Polling Director Keating Holland WASHINGTON (CNN) -- The presidential race is neck-and-neck in today's tracking poll, with just a single percentage point separating the two candidates. If the election were held today, 46 percent of likely voters would pick Vice President Al Gore and 45 percent would choose Texas Gov. George W. Bush, with Ralph Nader and Pat Buchanan in single digits. The CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll of 752 likely voters conducted October 21-23 has a 4-point margin of error. Bush enjoyed a temporary gain in the polls last week after the third and final presidential debate, as he did after the first debate, which faded after a few days back to a dead heat. Since Labor Day, the race has essentially been too close to call, with neither candidate able to hold onto a lead for more than a few days.

To: mike60613 who wrote (51659)	10/24/2000 4:38:44 PM
From: Neocon	Respond to of 769667

As of October 23rd, Reuters/MSNBC/Zogby had it: Bush 44%, Gore 42%......

To: mike60613 who wrote (51659)	10/24/2000 4:41:03 PM
From: Neocon	Respond to of 769667

Voter.com Battleground 2000 Daily Poll: Bush 46, Gore 38 October 24, 2000 By Lowell Weiss Voter.com News (Voter.com, Oct. 24) -- GOP nominee George W. Bush continues to pick up momentum - not only from previously undecided voters but also from likely voters who had earlier indicated support for Democratic nominee Al Gore, according to the latest Voter.com Battleground tracking poll. The bipartisan poll, released Tuesday, finds that Bush has opened up an eight-point advantage over Gore - the largest lead for either candidate in the past six weeks of daily tracking. When 1,000 likely voters were asked for whom they would vote if the election were being held today, 46 percent said they would vote for Bush, 38 percent for Gore, 5 percent for Green Party nominee Ralph Nader, and 1 percent for Reform Party nominee Pat Buchanan. Ten percent of likely voters remain undecided, down from 12 percent a week ago. The poll's margin of error is plus or minus 3.1 points. The Bush campaign appears to be gaining support across many different demographic groups, including single voters, married voters, and male voters. Over the past week, Bush has gained five points among single voters, cutting Gore's lead to two points. Among married voters, Bush has gained four points, increasing his overall advantage to 17 points. Among men, Bush has gained 14 points, lifting his commanding lead to 24 points. (During the same time period, Gore has picked up four points among women, giving him a seven-point edge.) Meanwhile, in the wake of the third presidential debate, Gore's favorability ratings have continued to slide. A week ago, before the third debate, 54 percent of likely voters said they held a favorable impression of Gore while 39 percent held an unfavorable view of him. The latest Voter.com Battleground poll finds that 49 percent now hold a favorable opinion and 43 percent hold an unfavorable one. By contrast, Bush is seeing his favorability ratings rise. A week ago, 57 percent had a favorable impression of Bush and 34 percent had an unfavorable one. The newest survey reports that his favorables have risen to 58 and his unfavorables have fallen to 32. In the extremely tight race to pick up seats in the U.S. Congress, the Republicans have pulled even with the Democrats after trailing by four points in the poll released Monday. Forty-one percent of respondents said they would vote for the Democratic congressional candidate in their district, and 41 percent said they'd support the Republican candidate. voter.com

To: mike60613 who wrote (51659)	10/24/2000 4:43:04 PM
From: Neocon	Respond to of 769667

Bush Lead Steady Two Points In Reuters/MSNBC Poll October 24, 2000 By Alan Elsner, Political Correspondent WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Republican George W. Bush's lead over Democrat Al Gore held steady at two percentage points in the tight race for the U.S. presidency, the Reuters/MSNBC daily tracking poll said on Tuesday. Exactly two weeks before the Nov. 7 election, support stands at 44 percent for the Texas governor and 42 percent for the vice president in the poll of 1,206 likely voters conducted Saturday through Monday by pollster John Zogby. The results remained unchanged over the previous 24 hours. The result remains well within the margin of error of plus or minus three points in one of the closest presidential races in decades. Green Party candidate Ralph Nader polled 5 percent; Reform Party hopeful Pat Buchanan scored 1 percent, and 7 percent of voters remained undecided. "Bush maintains his slim overall lead with strong support among independents, married voters and the important group of those who earn $25,000 to $50,000 a year," Zogby said. "Gore has strong support among voters under the age of 25, union households, minorities and he is gaining among parents," the pollster said. When undecided voters were asked which way they leaned, they broke slightly for Gore, meaning the race may be even closer than this poll indicates. KNIFE'S EDGE TO THE END Eighty-eight percent of respondents said they had definitely made up their minds, suggesting that the campaign will likely remain on a knife's edge all the way to the end. Forty two percent had ruled out voting for Bush and 40 percent for Gore. If voters are given a choice of only Bush and Gore without any of the other candidates, the race is a tie with each polling 46 percent. This suggests that Nader is hurting Gore. In the equally close race for control of the House of Representatives, where Democrats need a net pickup of only seven seats to regain the majority, Democrats have a slim, statistically insignificant single point lead. Gore led Bush by 16 points in the East while Bush led by 12 points in the South and by 8 points in the all-important Midwest region. The two were tied in the West. Gore's strength was among voters aged 24 or less and those aged 70 or more. Bush led in all other age groups. While Bush is winning the support of more than 82 percent of Republicans, Gore has in recent days increased his backing among Democrats to 80 percent. Independents were going 41-31 percent for the Texan. Bush leads among white voters by 50 percent to 36 percent. But Gore was winning among Hispanics by 53 percent to 33 percent and is taking 82 percent of the black vote. Bush leads among men by 16 points; Gore's lead among women is 11 points. Reuters and MSNBC will release a new poll every day until the election. Since the poll began on Sept. 29, the race has never been outside the survey's statistical margin of error. voter.com

To: mike60613 who wrote (51659)	10/24/2000 4:44:26 PM
From: Neocon	Respond to of 769667

October 24, 2000 Presidential Tracking Poll On Tuesday morning, with just two weeks left in Campaign 2000, the Portrait Of America Presidential Tracking Poll finds Texas Governor George W. Bush leading Vice President Al Gore by 47% to 41%. The telephone survey of 3,000 likely voters was conducted on Saturday, Sunday, and Monday, October 21, 22, and 23. The survey’s margin of sampling error is +/- 1.8 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. The question now is whether Al Gore can find a way to make one last surge to make the race competitive on Election Day. Polling over the next few days should give us the answer. For the Vice President to have a chance, he'll have to start knocking down Governor Bush's lead before this week is out. Much analysis has gone into the Electoral College aspect of the race in recent weeks. Like the national numbers, the states have been swinging in Bush's direction. Most of this examination misses the point. If either candidate wins by more than a point or two, he won't have any trouble with the Electoral College. For those of you who enjoy checking the daily tracking numbers this election season, Rasmussen Research will have a new service to help you stay informed after the election. For the first time in history, the new President will have his approval ratings measured every day. Additionally, we'll keep polling on other aspects of the political environment and issues as they arise. In another arena, Rasmussen Research has been collecting daily information on the attitudes of investors, consumers, and workers about the economy and the financial markets. We'll begin posting this data on a daily basis as well once the elections are behind us. portraitofamerica.com

To: mike60613 who wrote (51659)	10/24/2000 4:45:48 PM
From: Neocon	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769667

Bush, Gore Near Even in Post Tracking Poll By Richard Morin and Claudia Deane Washington Post Staff Writers Monday , October 23, 2000 Vice President Gore has pulled into a virtual tie with Gov. George W. Bush on the strength of increased support among independent women and voters in the key battleground states of the Midwest, according to The Washington Post daily tracking poll. The latest survey found Bush leading Gore by 47 percent to 46 percent among likely voters, well within the survey's margin of sampling error and the first time Gore has been this close to his Republican rival in more than two weeks. Green Party candidate Ralph Nader received 4 percent of the hypothetical vote, and Pat Buchanan of the Reform Party got 1 percent. The latest results mark another and perhaps temporary change in the direction of this persistently volatile race. It largely came over the weekend, as Gore significantly improved his standing with women, independents, middle-aged voters, Democrats who only weakly identify with their party, and voters in the Midwest and in the west. Gore now claims 53 percent of the vote from women who say they're politically independent. That's an 11-point increase from a Post tracking poll completed Thursday, which found these voters about evenly divided between the two major party candidates. Bush currently gets the support of 35 percent of independent women, down from 44 percent last week. Other big moves for Gore: In recent days, the survey suggests he has picked up six points among independents who lean toward the Democratic Party; six points among voters in the Midwest, five points among voters in the west and seven points among voters between the ages of 45 and 60. The news is not all bad for Bush. The survey suggests he has gained eight points among likely voters older than 60, and now leads Gore 49 percent to 42 percent among these voters. But among virtually every other key voter group, the Republican hasn't moved or appears to have lost ground in the past week. A total of 1,427 likely voters were interviewed Thursday through Sunday. Margin of sampling error for the overall results was plus or minus 3 percentage points. washingtonpost.com