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Strategies & Market Trends : The Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stomper who wrote (19562)10/24/2000 6:17:43 PM
From: Wes Stevens  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 49816
 
think nt is a buy here at 49?



To: stomper who wrote (19562)10/24/2000 8:20:08 PM
From: stan s.  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 49816
 
Nortel Stock Pounded As Optical Sales Slow

By Susan Taylor

OTTAWA (Reuters) - Nortel Networks Corp. (Toronto:NT.TO - news)
(NYSE:NT - news) stock was hammered in after-hours trade on Tuesday
after it reported a slowdown in optical network system sales due to high
customer inventories and a shortage of Nortel staff to install the products.

Shares in the world's No. 2 telecommunications equipment maker slumped
23 percent in after-hours trade to $48-3/4 on Instinet on turnover of 4.2
million shares from a close of $63-5/16.

Jittery investors found little comfort in third-quarter earnings per share figures
that beat analysts' estimates by one cent or even an increase in growth
forecasts. Nortel said earnings per share in 2000 should grow in the low
40-percent range, up from the high 30-percent range.

``What we have here is a classic correction and field inventory is resulting in a
slowdown in unit sales by Nortel, clipping the rate of growth artificially,'' said Alex Henderson, analyst at
Salomon Smith Barney.

Nortel's optical network system sales grew 90 percent in the quarter, versus several analysts' expectations of
about 120-125 percent.

The company said a tight supply of optical systems led several customers to amass inventory, which Henderson
calculated was worth $300 million to $350 million.

``That moves the issue now to the bottleneck being with our installation forces, where we have to ramp the
ability to install the equipment faster,'' Nortel chief executive John Roth said in a conference call. ``Now we're
at the point where the shortages are being removed.''

Nortel said customers have worked through their excess supply and it expects sales to rebound in the fourth
quarter, when it is close to being sold out.

Nortel also said on Tuesday it expects annual optical equipment sales will surpass $10 billion in the year, a shift
from previous projections of up to $12 billion in sales.

The company posted net earnings of $574 million, or 18 cents an adjusted share, on revenues of $7.31 billion
in the quarter versus the year-earlier net earnings of $314 million, or 11 cents a share, on revenues of $5.15
billion.

Earnings just beat the average estimate of 17 cents a share from 33 analysts polled by First Call/Thomson
Financial, based on forecasts ranging from 15 cents to 19 cents per share.

A group of five analysts had forecast revenues $7.6 billion, with forecasts ranging from $7.3 billion to $7.94
billion.

``For the last two quarters in a row, Nortel has had upside in revenues of approximately $1 billion,'' said
Michael Neiberg, analyst at Chase Hambrecht & Quist. ``This quarter it looks like the revenue number is at the
low end of the range, so I think that is a breaking of a trend.''

After it factored in acquisition-related costs, Brampton, Ontario-based Nortel recorded a net loss of $586
million, or 20 cents a share.

Analysts had warned that if Nortel failed to post strong results or scaled back its growth forecasts like top rival
Lucent Technologies Inc. (NYSE:LU - news), its stock would be battered.

There were worries that a traditionally weak sales period in Europe and an equipment spending slowdown from
phone companies would affect Nortel's results.

Lucent on Monday ousted its chief executive and posted a 22-percent decline in fourth quarter profits due
largely to late development of new products. Lucent, the No. 1 telecoms equipment maker, also lowered
first-quarter forecasts, saying it did not expect to post a profit.

``We're doing a little better than we expected on our earnings so we're increasing the outlook,'' Roth told
Reuters. ''We think the market's continuing to gain steam -- we've gone through a very, very active summer.''

Nortel said it expects to grow faster than its peers in 2001, with growth in revenues and earnings per share
from operations growing in the 30 to 35 percent range.

On average, a group of 30 analysts expected fourth-quarter earnings of 26 cents per share, said First
Call/Thomson Financial. Forecasts range from 22 cents to 28 cents.

Wireless equipment sales also expanded in the quarter, gaining 56 percent over last year. In the third quarter,
Nortel has signed contracts worth $1.2 billion.