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Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: rudedog who wrote (162368)10/25/2000 7:34:56 PM
From: John Koligman  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 176388
 
Rudedog - I remember writing about the NASDAQ's performance on this thread back in the January/February timeframe, talking about it's parabolic rise and how a 2k correction was just what it needed. I think the market (NAS in particular) has finally started to act somewhat 'rationally' this year in regard to correcting market excesses. The bubble is being unwound, group by group. The fluff stocks got hit first, followed by quality issues 'priced for perfection' on a group by group basis. Frankly, I was astounded by what the NASDAQ did late last year/early this year, so I really don't know how much lower we go, but my feeling is that the PC and Telecom group are pretty much there, at least in the short term. By telecom I mean T, WCOM, FON - not the equipment providers. LU is probably just about there, but the high fliers - might stabilize, and bleed lower. I'm basing my 'high flier' analysis on what other groups with strong mo have done - once that 'mo' is gone, it does not seem to come back very often. Perhaps the market is finally 'PE adjusting', and if/when the SUNW's and EMC's get hit, that will be the bottom..

Best regards,
John

PS - For an example of how bad it can get however, just look at GM. Profits of 6B, sales around 170B, market cap of around 36B. Imagine what the techs would be selling for if they were really out of favor (ala 1983 on), and were priced like GM.



To: rudedog who wrote (162368)10/27/2000 1:31:43 AM
From: lin luo  Respond to of 176388
 
rudedog,

Maybe we have to wait all the earnings coming out. Hopefully by that time people have nothing to sell. I lost whatever I made last year and a little more. most of the stocks lost their long memories (:-), simply, just like dell right now. This means most of them have no long-term holding values. I was hit mainly by msft, but also a fatal mistake that I did not realize: the Internet unified people's thoughts and the markets are becoming less diversified. Hopefully we have seen the bottom, unless we have recession.