E-Bill Bendix: What follows are a whole bunch of polls, hot off the AP wire. Just an hour or two old. If I were a Republican, I'd be a bit concerned by Gore's surge so close to Election Day. Permit me to direct your attention to the individual state polls. We have three from Florida, for instance. Two say Gore, one says Bush. Which one is the most accurate? Hell, I don't know. Maybe someone else does.
AP National
Presidential Poll Results
By The Associated Press
Some new national and state polls on the presidential race. When results don't total 100 percent, the remainder either declined to answer or backed another candidate.
Suppose the election for president were being held today and you had to choose between Al Gore and Joseph Lieberman, the Democrats; George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans; Ralph Nader and Winona LaDuke, the Green Party candidates; and Pat Buchanan and Ezola Foster, the Reform Party candidates. For whom would you vote?
NATIONAL
(ABC News)
-- Bush, 48 percent
-- Gore, 46 percent
-- Nader, 3 percent
-- Buchanan, 1 percent
(CNN-USA Today-Gallup)
-- Bush, 48 percent
-- Gore, 43 percent
-- Nader, 3 percent
-- Buchanan, 1 percent
(MSNBC-Reuters)
-- Bush, 42 percent
-- Gore, 45 percent
-- Nader, 4 percent
-- Buchanan, 1 percent
(Voter.com Battleground)
-- Bush, 45 percent
-- Gore, 39 percent
-- Nader, 5 percent
-- Buchanan, 1 percent
STATES
California
-- Bush, 41 percent
-- Gore, 48 percent
-- Nader, 5 percent
-- Buchanan, 1 percent
Florida
(American Research Group)
-- Bush, 45 percent
-- Gore, 49 percent
-- Nader, 2 percent
-- Buchanan/others,
( signifies less than 1 percent)
(Florida Voter Poll)
-- Bush, 46 percent
-- Gore, 41 percent
-- Nader, 4 percent
-- Buchanan, 3 percent
(CBS-New York Times)
-- Bush, 42 percent
-- Gore, 46 percent
-- Nader, 3 percent
-- Buchanan, 1 percent
Illinois
-- Bush, 39 percent
-- Gore, 45 percent
-- Nader, 4 percent
-- Buchanan, 1 percent
Maine
-- Bush, 34 percent
-- Gore, 42 percent
-- Nader, 5 percent
(this state has been competitive)
(Michigan, Oregon, Pennsylvania polls done by American Research Group)
Michigan
-- Bush, 43 percent
-- Gore, 46 percent
-- Nader, 5 percent
-- Buchanan, 2 percent
Oregon
-- Bush, 45 percent
-- Gore, 41 percent
-- Nader, 10 percent
-- Buchanan,
( signifies less than 1 percent)
Pennsylvania
-- Bush, 43 percent
-- Gore, 48 percent
-- Nader, 2 percent
-- Buchanan, 1 percent
The ABC News poll of 1,000 likely voters was taken Oct. 22-24 and has an error margin of 3 percentage points.
The CNN-USA Today-Gallup tracking poll of 735 likely voters was taken Oct. 22-24 and has a 4 percentage point error margin.
The MSNBC-Reuters tracking poll of 1,200 likely voters was taken Oct. 22-24 by Zogby International and has an error margin of 3 percentage points.
The Voter.com Battleground tracking poll of 1,000 likely voters was taken Oct. 18-19, 22-23 and has an error margin of 3 percentage points.
The California poll of 852 likely voters was conducted by the Los Angeles Times on Oct. 19-23 and has an error margin of 4 percentage points.
The poll by The Florida Voter, a nonpartisan political journal, was conducted Oct. 17-23 of 606 likely voters and has an error margin of 4 percentage points.
The CBS-New York Times poll of 514 likely Florida voters was taken Oct. 22-24 and has an error margin of 4 percentage points.
The Chicago Tribune poll of 614 likely voters was conducted Oct. 20-23 by Market Shares Corp. and has an error margin of 4 percentage points.
The Maine poll of 400 likely voters taken Oct. 20-23 by Strategic Market Services has an error margin of 5 percentage points.
The American Research Group polls of Florida, Michigan, Oregon and Pennsylvania were taken Oct. 20-24 of 600 likely voters in each state. The polls had a 4 percentage point error margin. |
