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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (10138)10/27/2000 10:59:32 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 65232
 
what a lackluster droopy day for Naz
the low 2.7% GDP number is somewhat misleading
take out govt slower activity, and you get 4.1% GDP
is that correct? that is what friend tells me
and he is no slackjaw

Dow stole the attention today with banks leading the way
that bodes well for a tech recovery with meaning and gusto
any tech recovery requires a firm solid foundation

lower GDP now provides Federal Reserve with the excuse to ease on rates
or at least to move away from tightening bias

the Euro touched new lows again, lower than before the talk of US/Japan intervention support
what a shitty currency!!!
I believe the Fed will point to slower US economic data, but look at extremely sick Euro currency, and begin to change its monetary course very soon

Europe is pathetic, its currency is a joke
it endangers to some extent world economic stability

I maintain that any expectation of a US economy recession is absurd
my reasoning is simple
the only way our current economy can suffer a recession is with the return of the Cold War and its associated high cost of weaponry buildup
take out the cost of Cold War and you have no threat of recession
the worst an overtightening Fed policy can do is bring about something like 2.0-2.5% GDP pseudo-stagnation

the Fed can take the foot off the brake
translated: the Fed can ease rates, and restore the yield curve to its proper shape

/ Jim



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (10138)10/28/2000 12:33:59 AM
From: Gary Kao  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
JB:
good luck with your new digs, and "digettes" <g>
How are you able to get online if you don't know your telephone number?
jus' wondering,

Gary