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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (10162)	10/28/2000 10:30:05 AM
From: im a survivor	Respond to of 65232

<<Keith, let me know when you bail out... I will buy, sorry / JW >> I hear ya JW....If I could do the opposite of everything I do, I'd be rich<ggg> No offense intended, but I think there are alot more folks losing there ass this year then just me.....I may express it more, but stock prices speak for themselves. Additionally, everywhere I go, the bulk of folks are saying the same things......"they just can't figure out this market".....It aint just me. As far as rmbs....I had a bunch at $90 and have sold small amounts on the way down. So far, that hasn't been a bad decision as it keeps going down. I still hold a decent chunk and sure hope Volty is correct, but again, I dont think it's so odd of me to wonder about rmbs making that kind of move....I will welcome it with open arms...but still cant help but wonder....and trust me, I aint the only one.... I am outta here off to the inlaws to work on putting in a sprinkler system. Have a great day By they way JW, I love your ta and posts and love your humor...even when your poking fun at me and even when your being serious .....later me

To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (10162)	10/28/2000 1:09:03 PM
From: lurqer	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 65232

I've been "gone" a couple of weeks and am "a little behind" with my Inbox. In response to a post of mine you posed the question LurqMan, do you expect capitulation to coincide with 6-8 month lag from the "sour spot" of the rate hikes??? as in 6-8 months from March-May ??? that would be Oct-December ??? For some of my current thoughts (FWIW) see Message 14679144 (My previous post to RR.) You could be right (as is said around here <gg>), but I currently believe the Capitulation phase of this bear correction will be a little further out in time. A question I have is what is the dispersion on that lag time - i.e. what is the probability that the lag could be 10 months? Hope you are well ensconced in Clearwater for the season. lurqer