To: Oral Roberts who wrote (168 ) 10/29/2000 7:32:52 PM From: Cisco Respond to of 6710 Pollster: ‘Undecideds’ will move to Bush camp By DAN BUSTARD Lakes Region Bureau Chief Democratic candidate and Vice President Al Gore has more support for president among New Hampshire’s independent voters than his Republican opponent, Texas Gov. George W. Bush. But Bush is likely to garner a greater share of undecided voters on election day, Nov. 7. That is the theory of Chicago pollster Nick Panagakis, who has correctly predicted the choices of undecided voters in elections over the past 20 years. Others agree. "Most of the undecideds will probably go to the challenger. If Gore seems like the incumbent in the race, inheriting the mantle of the current administration, than undecided voters will break to the challenger," said Andy Smith, director of the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. The Granite State is one of the only battlegrounds left in the Northeast, although recent polls indicate Maine may become one shortly if not already. With predictions being made for the closest election in 40 years, a small state like New Hampshire and its four electoral votes becomes increasingly important. It is close enough for Bush and Gore to consider a visit here before the election. "I think when you deal with an election this tight, every state, every vote is important," said Bush spokesman Ken Lisaius, who would not reveal the campaign’s internal polling numbers. "The smaller states are more important in this race." Bush recently visited New Hampshire and Maine. Another trip has not been scheduled, but neither has one been ruled out. "I would tell the people of New Hampshire to keep their eyes open and their ears to the ground," said Lisaius from Bush’s campaign headquarters in Texas. He noted that campaign schedules this close to the election are made only 48 hours in advance and can change quickly. From Gore’s Nashville, Tenn., headquarters, spokesman Dan Pfieffer said either Gore or candidate for vice president, Sen. Joe Lieberman of Connecticut, will visit New Hampshire before the election. Gore’s eldest daughter, Karenna Gore Schiff, was in the state on Friday campaigning on her father’s behalf. "It is very close," said Pfieffer, who also would not reveal any of Gore’s internal polling numbers. "We are feeling good about New Hampshire. The people of New Hampshire have a proclivity for rejecting the Bush family," referring to Bush’s loss in the primary earlier this year and his father’s defeat by President Clinton in 1992. It was Panagakis who theorized undecided voters tend to choose the challenger because they know incumbent candidates and choose to vote against incumbents. Smith said the Panagakis theory "has been proven over the years, but I modify it so that I do not give all undecideds to the challenger. People know who he is. That is one of the problems Gore faces, and one of the reasons why he was ‘reintroduced’ at the Democratic National Convention."fosters.com