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Strategies & Market Trends : The New Economy and its Winners -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mama Bear who wrote (2527)10/30/2000 1:52:34 AM
From: Tom Kearney  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 57684
 
There is no historic norm for what is happening today. Take CHKP for example. This company has a 50+% NET profit margin! And it is still increasing the rate of earnings growth. INTC, a MANUFACRURING company, has a 60+% gross profit margin, and several other chip companies are at that level. GM, Ford, GE, etc, never had profit margins like this, and never had to increase manufacturing capacity 5 to 10 TIMES in a few years, just to try and keep up with demand the way JDSU, SDLI, GLW must.

There has never been anything like this. Never.

Of course, I realize fiber optics is dead. But, maybe someone can scrape together a few more cents for another strand.

"Telcos plan Asia-America undersea optical cable"

biz.yahoo.com

It would be good to have some cash, now. Don't miss all the great bargins.

Regards,
Tom



To: Mama Bear who wrote (2527)10/30/2000 3:10:35 AM
From: Tom Kearney  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 57684
 
Mama, here's a few more numbers to consider:

Efficiency

JNPR

Revenue/Employee (TTM) 1,264,349
Net Income/Employee (TTM) 265,191

GE

Revenue/Employee (TTM) 375,668
Net Income/Employee (TTM) 35,997

JNPR's a newbie, in a fast moving industry. It must invest heavily. Do you think GE was more efficient 75 years ago?

Duke is interesting. It has vast fixed assests, yet the returns are low.

Revenue/Employee (TTM) 1,908,857
Net Income/Employee (TTM) 62,048

Regards,
Tom



To: Mama Bear who wrote (2527)10/30/2000 12:55:10 PM
From: Lizzie Tudor  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 57684
 
You are absolutely right, my comments were adressing the last 40 years or so. Cnbc had a show called "history of the stock market" where they talked about railroads and different explosive industries that came out of the industrial revolution. There were tons of stock market bubbles back then. Some fell back to earth and some maintained, I guess GE is the ultimate survivor.

I fully expect Ariba to be worth less in 50 years than it is worth 5 years from now. Of course there is always the chance that Ariba is another GE. But I'm mostly looking at what the next 5 years will bring.