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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Cisco who wrote (191)	10/30/2000 4:25:51 PM
From: Nichols	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 6710

Hey Cisco, can I play with your numbers a bit?? according to your #'s, Gore has 196 safe or leaning. Add MN (10) WA(11) WS (11) MI (18)- all states leaning towards Gore, and my friend Al now has 246 votes. Add PA,my home state, which I'm hoping will see the light and go with Al, and now he's got 269. Add one more small state, and Al's got the election. Not too far fetched, at all. I'm hoping this will turn out with the help of Clinton rallying the base, and Nader defections. Thoughts?

To: Cisco who wrote (191)	10/30/2000 4:27:29 PM
From: Elvis Jones	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 6710

I've been tracking POA's electoral college standings. While they show 220-171 for Bush, the numbers don't make sense. If you add up the states for each candidate with a 5+ point lead, Bush would be leading 227-95. California and Illinois each show a 4 point Gore lead. Oregon shows a 5 point Bush lead. Now if you roll in the 4 point lead states to each candidate, it's 264-171 for Bush. Gore may get California and Illinois in this case. But Bush then adds Missouri, Tennessee, Maine and Wisconsin. Under that scenario, Bush needs only 1 of the following to win (Gore needs all 7)... 1) Pennsylvania (Bush up by 3) 2) New Mexico (Bush by 3) AND West Virginia (Bush by 2) 3) Florida (Bush by 1) 4) Michigan (Even Race) 5) Washington (Even) 6) Minnesota (Even) 7) Arkansas (Gore by 2) Note: None of this is my opinion. This is all analysis based on POA's electoral college page.