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Technology Stocks : Nortel Networks (NT) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Techplayer who wrote (8000)10/30/2000 8:36:16 PM
From: Kenneth E. Phillipps  Respond to of 14638
 
Article in Lightreading about Lumentis - startup with a plan that sounds very much like Nortel's plans for Xros and Core-Tek

OCTOBER 30, 2000

Metro DWDM: Another Leap Forward?

Swedish startup Lumentis AB announced today that it had secured a 100 million Krona (US$10
million) first round of funding for developments that could set new standards of flexibility in metro
DWDM networks (see Swedish Startup Completes 1st Round ).

The startup plans to take advantage of developments in tunable lasers, tunable filters, and
MEMS-based optical switching subsystems to develop what amounts to a third generation of metro
DWDM gear, according to Lumentis's CEO, Anders Lundberg.

The ability to change wavelengths and reroute them quickly will enable carriers to deliver
bandwidth to customers where and when they want it, without having to run their networks
inefficiently, according to Lundberg. The use of tunable devices will also reduce component counts
in Lumentis equipment, reducing costs and improving reliability, he adds.


Right now, however, Lumentis is at an early stage of development. On the plus side, it was founded
by seven former members of the metro DWDM development group at Ericsson AB (Nasdaq: ERICY),
so it clearly has some technical talent. It's also got a big name -- DB Industrial Holdings AG, a
subsidiary of Germany’s Deutsche Bank AG -- to stump up its first found of finance.

On the minus side, Lumentis isn't planning to set up in the U.S. for a couple of years, which
probably indicates when it expects to ship products.

Lumentis has also picked a problematic name. Another company called Lumentis Corp. already
exists in the U.S. and owns the dotcom URL (Sweden's Lumentis has www.Lumentis.se). To make
matters worse, Lumentis is bound to get confused with similar sounding U.S. startups such as
Luminent, Lumenon, and Luminous Networks.

Existing metro DWDM vendors also raise questions about Lumentis’s claims. “Flexibility often comes
at a price and a performance premium,” says the technical marketing manager at a metro DWDM
vendor, who requested anonymity.

He also casts doubt on the availability of tunable filters. “I don’t know where you’d get them from,” he
says. It’s going to take time to convince carriers that tunable components and switches based on
MEMS (micro-electro-mechanical systems) are reliable, he adds (see Optical Switching Fabric ).

-- Peter Heywood, international editor, Light Reading lightreading.com

lightreading.com



To: Techplayer who wrote (8000)10/30/2000 8:48:00 PM
From: Kenneth E. Phillipps  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 14638
 
TP, Now I know what my college economics professor was talking about when he distinquished between demand and "effective demand". There is huge demand for broadband services and huge demand for bandwidth but not enough "effective demand" backed up by carriers with lots of cash to satisfy their demand. As consumers - businesses and individuals - buy the new broadband services and increase the revenue streams of the carriers and service providers, they will buy more hardware and software to deliver those services. In the meanwhile, we do have the mother of all buying opportunities over the next year.



To: Techplayer who wrote (8000)10/30/2000 9:17:15 PM
From: Master (Hijacked)  Respond to of 14638
 
It is amazing that Lehman Brothers values a company with $15 million in sales at $240 per share while a company with $40 BILLION in sales is valued at $60 per share.

I was excellent in math but it seems to me that Lehman uses a complex set of algorithms to arrive at a different set of numbers.

$40,000,000,000
divided by
$15,000,000

= 2666.66 times

therefore, assuming all else remains the same, it means that once SONS attains Nortel's level of sales it should have a value of:

$639,999.98 per share ......($240 x 2666.66)

WOW, now that's what I call an investment.

Vince