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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nichols who wrote (259)10/31/2000 4:34:07 PM
From: Cisco  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6710
 
Cisco's Electoral Vote Prediction as of 10/31/2000

Bush Safe: AK-3, AL-9, AZ-8, CO-8, GA-13, ID-4, IN-12, KS-6, KY-8, LA-9, MS-7, MT-3, NC-14, ND-3, NE-5, OK-8, SC-8, SD-3, TX-32, UT-5, VA-13, WV-5 & WY-3 for 189 votes.

Bush Leaning: IA-7, MO-11, NV-4, OH-21, PA-23, & TN-11 for 77 votes.

Bush Total: 266 electoral votes.

Gore Safe: CT-8, CA-54, DC-3, DE-3, HI-4, MD-10, MA-12, NJ-15, NY-33, RI-4, & VT-3 for 149 votes.

Gore Leaning: IL-22 for 22 votes.

Gore Total: 171 electoral votes.

BUSH NEEDS 4 ELECTORAL VOTES
GORE NEEDS 99 ELECTORAL VOTES

Toss-up: AR-6, FL-25, ME-4, MI-18, MN-10, NH-4, NM-5, OR-7, WA-11, & WI-11 for 101 electoral votes.

Cisco's Battleground States:

STATE   DATE     POLL     GORE BUSH NADER OTHER UND  MOE
AR      10-6     POA       43   41    2     3   11    3
       10-29  Mason Dixion 43   44    4          5    4

DE     10-30     POA       44   43    5     1    7    3

FL     10-25     POA       45   46    2     1    5    3
       10-23   FL-VOTER    41   46    4     3    6    4
       10-24  CBS/NYTIMES  46   42    3     1    8    4
       10-24     ARG       49   45    2               4
       10-29   LATIMES     44   48    2          6    5
       10-30  Zogby Track. 51   40    3     0    4    4

IL     10-22 CHIC-SUNTIMES 45   43    4     4    3    3.9
       10-23     P0A       44   40    3     2   11    3
       10-26   FOX NEWS    43   44                    4
       10-26 CHIC-TRIBUNE  45   35                    3
       10-30  Zogby Track. 47   41    4               4

IA     10-14     POA       40   46    3     1   10    3

ME     10-21     POA       39   43    5     3   10    3
       10-23   ME-POLL     43   34                    5
       10-25 Market Decis. 42   42    5     3   11    3.4

MI     10-29     POA       43   43    5     1    8    3
       10-24     ARG       46   43    5     2    4    4
       10-25   EPIC MRA    44   42    4     1    9    4
       10-26 TARRANCE/LAKE 43   42    5     2    8    4.9
       10-26   FOX NEWS    42   41                    4
       10-26 DETROIT NEWS  42   42    3
       10-26 Marketing Res 39   45    5
       10-29   LATIMES     48   44    3          5    5
       10-30 Zogby Track.  45   44    4     1    5    4    

MN     10-13     POA       38   38    8     4   13    3
       10-24 ST. CLOUD UNV 38   41   10               4.5

MO     10-16 RESEARCH 2000 41   42                    4
       10-28     POA       42   47    3     2    7    3
       10-25 Masion-Dixon  44   45    4     1         4
       10-30 Zogby Track.  45   46    3     0    5    4

NH     10-18 RESEARCH 2000 44   41                    4
       10-22     POA       38   46    6     3    8    3
       10-25   WNDS-TV     43   40    5         11    3

NM      9-26     POA       41   44    5     2    8    3
        9-28  NM ST UNIV   42   42                    4
        9-30  MASON-DIXON  41   44                    5
        10-6  NM ST UNIV   42   42    5     0   10    4

OR     10-21     POA       38   43    7     2    9    3
       10-24     ARG       41   45   10               4

PA     10-29     POA       42   45    4     2    8    3
       10-18    CFLI       42   42    4     2   10    4
       10-24     ARG       48   43    2     1    6    4
       10-26 TARRENCE/LAKE 45   40    5     5    5    4.9
       10-26   FOX NEWS    46   39                    4
       10-29   LATIMES     45   47    2     0    6    4
       10-29  Keystone     42   43    5     1    9    4
       10-30 Zogby Track.  43   46    4     0    7    4

TN      9-27  MASON-DIXON  43   46                    4
       10-18 MEDIA GENERAL 45   43                    5
       10-28     POA       44   45    3     1    7    3
       10-30 Zogby Track.  45   50    2     1    3    4

WA     10-19     POA       41   41    7     2    8    3
       10-20    ELWAY      46   37                    4
       10-22     PEW       45   45                    4.5
       10-30 Zogby Track.  45   44    6     0    4    4

WV     10-18     POA       42   44    3     2    9    3
       10-24   OH STATE    37   46                    4
       10-23  RYAN-MCGINN  36   47                    4

WI     10-24     POA       41   45    4     1    6    3
       10-24  ST NORBERT   46   39    5     3    7    4.8
       10-26 TARRANCE/LAKE 43   42    6     3    6    4.9
       10-21    Harris     40   49    5     1    5    4
       10-30 Zogby Track.  49   41    6     1    5    4


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