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To: Perspective who wrote (32856)11/1/2000 7:40:15 AM
From: Terry Whitman  Respond to of 436258
 
I agree. The cycle low was interrupted by AG and da boyz in 1998. It should have gone much lower, and we will pay for that eventually. Nazdung speculators paid for a good bit of it this year, and the flatness of the rest of the market this year is also related to that interruption, I believe.

If this 4th year of the cycle is to live up to precedent, we are in store for a fair rally between now and January.

It's November now, so remember the three N's of fall trading:
Never be Net short in November. <g>



To: Perspective who wrote (32856)11/1/2000 8:20:42 AM
From: Les H  Respond to of 436258
 
The four-year cycle could also be comprised of declining shorter term cycles. The most bullish first third of the four-year cycle ended in January at the all-time highs. Since then we've had successively lower lows on the Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq Comp. Still slightly higher low so far on the Nasdaq 100 but give it another chance. Each nine month cycle could also have a bearish inclination with the 6-month high being lower than the 3-month high.


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