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Technology Stocks : Alcatel (ALA) and France -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Herb Duncan who wrote (2721)11/1/2000 7:01:25 PM
From: zbyslaw owczarczyk  Respond to of 3891
 
Fool Plate Special: Alcatel Halts Fiber Fall
By Tom Jacobs

Paris-based telecom and fiber optic networking equipment maker Alcatel (NYSE: ALA - news)
posted excellent third-quarter results yesterday. The stock beamed up 9% from $57.13 to
$62.38 yesterday on news that net income tripled, operating profit doubled, and revenue was
up 50% over the same period last year. Alcatel's good news countered the fiber optic sell off
that began last week when Nortel's revenues jumped "only" 90%.

These numbers confirm CEO Serge Tchuruk's successful strategy to push Alcatel into markets driven by demand for Internet traffic, and
more good news apparently lies ahead. CFO Jean-Pierre Halbron forecast full-year 2000 earnings growth in the high 30s, up from an
earlier 35% estimate. According to Bloomberg, Halbron stated in the earnings conference call that "We like making forecasts and
beating them," sales will rise "at least" 25% next year, and operating profit will double again.

Newbridge and now 360networks
CEO Tchuruk began to reposition Alcatel in 1998 after it missed analysts' earnings estimates. He foresaw Internet traffic growth -- now
estimated to double every year for the next four years -- and pushed into optical components, high-speed transmission products and
undersea phone networks. To do it, Alcatel snapped up $16 billion in acquisitions, including Canadian Newbridge Networks for $7.1
billion.

Newbridge's switches for voice, data, and video on a single network are helping Alcatel catch up to leaders Lucent (NYSE: LU - news)
and Nortel (NYSE: NT - news). (If you want to learn more about fiber optic equipment making, it's worth considering the Fool's recent
Internet Report, for a small price.)

Alcatel announced its latest deal today. It will gulp a $1 billion piece of Vancouver-based 360networks (Nasdaq: TSIX - news), buying
$700 million in preferred stock now and $300 million in stock by 2012. 360networks commits to purchase $1.2 billion in Alcatel
optical networking equipment for a U.S.-Canada-Japan undersea network. Alcatel will invest another $300 million if 360networks uses
Alcatel equipment for a transatlantic network.

Where to?
Alcatel increasingly focuses on its core telecommunications business. CEO Tchuruk has moved to float tracking stock in the Alcatel
Optronics (Nasdaq: ALAO - news) division, which contains part of Alcatel's optical networking operation. Tchuruk plans next year to
spin off Nexans, its energy cables division. Analysts estimate that a separately traded Nexans would be the world's third-largest energy
cables company after Italy's Pirelli and Sumitomo Electric of Japan.

Selling at an estimated 2000 P/E of 46, Alcatel is a bargain compared to other premium-valued fiber optic networking companies:

P/E earnings estimate
to date
Avanex (Nasdaq: AVNX - news) 416 6/01
Corning (NYSE: GLW - news) 68 12/00
JDS Uniphase (Nasdaq: JDSU - news) 115 6/01
Nortel (NYSE: NT - news) 61 12/00

Alcatel does command a slightly higher multiple than recently sacked Lucent (P/E 40). But hey, the French company's executing on all
fronts and has a brighter outlook. Sacré bleu!

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