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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Dutch who wrote (11203)	11/2/2000 4:18:14 PM
From: Dealer	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 65232

Hi Dutch! I remember when I was in school we voted on who would be president and Kennedy won. We had a big student discussion on each of the candidates. I remember he was the first catholic and that was a mark against him. He still won our school poll and went on to win the election. I will go with the Weekly Reader. Bush will win. dealie

To: Dutch who wrote (11203)	11/2/2000 4:19:35 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 65232

two opinions: Courtney Smith, Wayne Angell Smith: inflation indexes are down (CPI, CRB, etc) interest rates are down (30yrTBond, 10yrTNotes) with both banks and technology up simultaneously, STRONG BULL SIGNAL Angell: commodity prices down (Commodity Research Bureau) gold is down (confirms lower inflation) strong USdollar (slowing effect on our economy) with inflation indications coming down, the Fed will be forced to cut rates, OR ELSE run the risk of a virtual tightening in the real rate of interest (real rate of interest = TBond yield minus CPI inflation) me: with higher energy prices, an additional drag on economy it is NOT an inflationary risk, but a profit squeeze reality lower profits means reduced corporate spending higher fuel cost means consumers have less for spending / Jim