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Technology Stocks : Rambus (RMBS) - Eagle or Penguin -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dan3 who wrote (60059)11/3/2000 8:52:45 AM
From: sylvester80  Respond to of 93625
 
Dan3,
Bet the farm and get more puts. I dare you.



To: Dan3 who wrote (60059)11/3/2000 8:53:54 AM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 93625
 
<<Impressive numbers. A P/E of 25 with earnings at $0.55 yields a stock price just under $14.

If 55 cents represents 40% of the market having signed, then if Rambus gets everyone to sign, their earnings would be $1.38 per year. Once they have nothing left to win, a more reasonable P/E would be 15 so the stock price could be expected to be around $21.

Questions? Comments?

:-)

Dan

PS - Notice that Eddlestone thought the $0.55 represented earnings after additional companies signed, the numbers above are actually slanted in Rambus's favor. I may have sold those puts waaaay too soon.>>

Comments
double or tripple those estimates fow when they all sign.
Double your PE
Add in some growth for communications products and controllers we have not seen.

If you are so certain with your analysis, I say buy those Puts back today - they will be a lot cheaper.



To: Dan3 who wrote (60059)11/3/2000 8:58:49 AM
From: GVTucker  Respond to of 93625
 
Dan3, RE: Notice that Eddlestone thought the $0.55 represented earnings after additional companies signed, the numbers above are actually slanted in Rambus's favor. I may have sold those puts waaaay too soon.

You need to read that report again, Dan. Edelstone hinted that his number would further rise after additional companies signed.

"Based on the expectations of higher royalty income derived from the Samsung agreement, we are raising our F2001 (ends in September) earnings estimate for Rambus to $0.55 per share from $0.45. Furthermore, we believe that additional license agreements are likely, and they should lead to higher earning power in the future."