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To: Robert Rose who wrote (2696)11/3/2000 10:30:49 AM
From: Bill Harmond  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 57684
 
You're welcome to contribute here Robert, but if you keep this up you won't last.



To: Robert Rose who wrote (2696)11/4/2000 1:42:11 PM
From: Bill Harmond  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 57684
 
Traditional "balanced" portfolio models, he adds, tend to rely on data studied and compiled over the past 70 years to position an investor for the next decade, but ignore the boom-and-bust "seasons" that mark various periods -- the Roaring 'Twenties followed by the Great Depression, the booming 1950s-1960s succeeded by the inflation-and-recession-wracked 1970s, the disinflation the 1980s and the booming high-tech economy of the 1990s -- each of which required different strategies.

"Having the same portfolio strategy through all of these extreme seasons would be like wearing a light raincoat year-round in New York because the average weather is 50 degrees with 0.1 inches of rain daily," he quips. "You would freeze in the winter, boil in the summer and almost never have the right clothes on."


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