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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: PROLIFE who wrote (58081)	11/3/2000 1:05:55 PM
From: Kenneth E. Phillipps	Respond to of 769670

" But a related finding by the Gallup poll vividly illustrates Gore's stronger position in some battleground states. Gallup calculates the results from voters in seven states: Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan, Missouri, Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Illinois. In those states, Gore led Bush by 4 points Wednesday. Assuming Gore holds the Democratic base states--particularly New York, California, New Jersey and Illinois--and Bush takes the reliable Republican states as well as Ohio and Missouri (where he leads), the states that are most likely to decide the election are Michigan, Pennsylvania and Florida. Most analysts believe the candidate who wins two of those three becomes the favorite for victory. If either wins three, he would become a prohibitive favorite. The most recent polls in Michigan show Gore leading, by margins of 4 to 10 percentage points. In both Pennsylvania and Florida, the public polls diverge. The Los Angeles Times Poll earlier this week showed Bush leading narrowly in both. But three public surveys released Thursday gave Gore a 4- to 5-point lead in Florida (though Republicans are more optimistic in their surveys). In Pennsylvania, Zogby's tracking poll and an American Research Group survey released Thursday gave Gore leads of 4 and 6 percentage points, respectively. The list of other states too close to call includes Washington, Oregon, Iowa, Wisconsin, Tennessee, Nevada, New Mexico, Minnesota, New Hampshire and Maine. Calculating the Chances In recent elections, almost all of the closely contested states ultimately have tipped toward the winner of the popular vote. But heading into the campaign's last weekend, these states show no consistent pattern. Gore has been gaining ground in Tennessee, Minnesota and New Mexico, while Bush appears to be advancing in Maine, Oregon and perhaps Washington." latimes.com