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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Elvis Jones who wrote (363)11/4/2000 7:29:24 AM
From: Cisco  Respond to of 6710
 
Voter Details, Six Day Sample - Released November 4, 2000
Six days worth of Presidential demographics

During the final full week of campaigning and polling in Campaign 2000, Rasmussen Research interviewed 7,500 Likely Voters for the daily Portrait of America (POA) national Presidential Tracking Poll.

This six-day track shows Texas Governor George W. Bush attracting 46.9% of the vote to Vice President Al Gore's 41.4%. Green Party candidate Ralph Nader is the choice for 3.9% of all voters.

Here are some additional details from the six-day sample:

91.7% of Gore voters say they're sure that's how they'll vote on election day. 91.8% of Bush voters say the same thing.

Among the 5.6% who are undecided, 28.9% say they'd pull the lever for Gore if they had to make a choice. 19.4% say they'd select Bush. Most undecided voters (51.6%), however, say they're not sure who they'd pick if forced to choose. It is likely these voters will stay home on Election Day.

Gore is viewed favorably by 42.9% of the voters, unfavorably by 48.2%. For Bush, the numbers are 48.6 favorable and 42.0 unfavorable.

64.4% of voters place themselves in the political center (moderate or somewhat conservative). 16.6% identify themselves to the right of center as "very conservative" while 17.3% are to the left of center ("somewhat liberal" or "very liberal.").

38.1% of voters say Al Gore is in the political center, while 49.4% see the Democratic candidate as somewhat or very liberal.

63.4% see George W. Bush in the political center, while 24.2% see him to the right of center.

14.6% rate the way things are going in the United States these days as Excellent. 42.7% say Good; 30.2% say Only Fair; and 10.6% rate the state of the nation as Poor.

Al Gore leads among women, 46.9% to 42.8%. George W. Bush leads among men, 51.3% to 35.5%.

Bush does best among 30-somethings (52.7% to 35.5%) and 40-somethings (48.0% to 40.0%). Gore does best among seniors (45.7% to 43.6%) and under 30 voters (43.1% for Gore to 43.2% for Bush).

88.9% of Republicans will vote for Bush. 82.1% of Democrats say they'll vote for Gore. Unaffiliated voters are breaking for Bush 36.4% to 31.6% with Nader picking up 11.3% of these votes.

In some ways, the election is a referendum on the state of the nation today. Among those who say the country is in excellent shape, Gore leads 78.7% to 16.6%. Those who rate the country in good shape also favor Gore by a narrow, 46.2% to 43.5%, margin. Bush leads among those who rate the way things are going in the US as fair (59.3% to 26.0%) or poor (67.2% to 15.9%).

Married voters favor Bush 52.2% to 38.0%. Single voters prefer Gore 47.5% to 37.1%.

Those who rarely or never attend church favor Gore 48.6% to 37.2%. Those who attend 4 or more times per month favor Bush 57.6% to 32.3%.

Bush leads among investors 51.4% to 39.6%. Among non-investors, it's Bush 44.4% to 42.9%. Prior to the first debate, Bush lead by just 6 points among investors.

Government employees favor Gore 47.3% to 40.7%. Private sector workers prefer Bush 50.7% to 38.0%.

Gore does best among workers who earn less than $20,000 per year (49.9% to 33.7%). Bush does best among those in the $40,000 to $60,000 income range (52.6% to 37.3%). High income American voters (those earning over $75,000 a year) favor Bush 49.0% to 41.7%.

Very liberal voters favor Gore 70.4% over Bush at 7.6%. The bad news for Gore here is that Ralph Nader attracts 14.6% of the very liberal votes. Among voters who describe themselves as somewhat liberal Gore leads 76.6% to 10.1%. Nader picks up 7.5% of these votes.

Very conservative voters prefer Bush 69.3% to 23.3%. Somewhat conservative voters prefer Bush 68.1% to 24.7%.

Moderates lean to Gore, 48.8% to 36.7%.

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