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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TraderGreg who wrote (375)11/4/2000 7:57:06 PM
From: Cisco  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 6710
 
Cisco's Electoral Vote Prediction as of 11/4/2000

Bush Safe: AK-3, AL-9, AZ-8, CO-8, GA-13, ID-4, IN-12, KS-6, KY-8, LA-9, MS-7, MT-3, NC-14, ND-3, NE-5, NV-4, OH-21, OK-8, SC-8, SD-3, TX-32, UT-5, VA-13 & WY-3 for 209 votes.

Bush Leaning: MO-11, & WV-5, for 16 votes.

Bush Total: 225 electoral votes.

Gore Safe: CT-8, DC-3, HI-4, MD-10, MA-12, NJ-15, NY-33, RI-4, & VT-3 for 92 votes.

Gore Leaning: CA-54, & IL-22 for 76 votes.

Gore Total: 168 electoral votes.

BUSH NEEDS 55 ELECTORAL VOTES
GORE NEEDS 112 ELECTORAL VOTES

Toss-up: AR-6, DE-3, FL-25, IA-7, ME-4, MI-18, MN-10, NH-4, NM-5, OR-7, PA-23, TN-11, WA-11, & WI-11 for 145 electoral votes.

Cisco's Battleground States:

STATE DATE POLL GORE BUSH NADER OTHER UND MOE
AR 11-2 POA 45 47 2 1 5 3
10-29 Mason Dixion 43 44 4 5 4
10-30 Op. Research 46 46 3 4

CA 10-31 Field Poll 47 40 4 3 6 3.2
10-29 POA 44 41 6 2 7 3
11-4 Zogby Track 48 40 5 1 4 4
11-1 Research 2000 47 40 5 1 3.5

DE 10-30 POA 44 43 5 1 7 3
11-1 Mason Dixon 42 46

FL 11-1 POA 45 47 3 2 5 3
10-23 FL-VOTER 41 46 4 3 6 4
10-24 CBS/NYTIMES 46 42 3 1 8 4
11-1 ARG 49 44 2 4
10-29 LATIMES 44 48 2 6 5
10-30 Mason Dixon 46 44 3 3.5
11-4 Zogby Track. 46 45 5 1 2 4

IL 10-22 CHIC-SUNTIMES 45 43 4 4 3 3.9
10-23 P0A 44 40 3 2 11 3
10-26 FOX NEWS 43 44 4
10-26 CHIC-TRIBUNE 45 35 3
10-30 Mason Dixon 46 43 3 1 4
11-1 Research 2000 48 42 4 1 4
11-4 Zogby Track. 49 40 5 1 5 4

IA 10-14 POA 40 46 3 1 10 3
10-31 PSI 41 44 2 1
11-2 Research 2000 44 43 4 1 4

ME 10-21 POA 39 43 5 3 10 3
10-23 ME-POLL 43 34 5
10-25 Market Decis. 42 42 5 3 11 3.4

MI 10-29 POA 43 43 5 1 8 3
11-1 ARG 48 44 3 1 4
11-2 EPIC MRA 44 45 4.5
10-26 TARRANCE/LAKE 43 42 5 2 8 4.9
10-26 FOX NEWS 42 41 4
10-26 Marketing Res 39 45 5
10-29 LATIMES 48 44 3 5 5
11-1 Mitchell Poll 46 40 3 1 11 4
11-4 Zogby Track. 49 40 5 5 4

MN 10-13 POA 38 38 8 4 13 3
10-24 ST. CLOUD UNV 38 41 10 4.5
10-27 Mason Dixon 44 41 8 1 4

MO 11-1 RESEARCH 2000 45 45 4 1 4
10-28 POA 42 47 3 2 7 3
10-25 Masion-Dixon 44 45 4 1 4
11-4 Zogby Track. 45 47 4 1 3 4

NH 11-1 RESEARCH 2000 46 42 2 1 4
10-22 POA 38 46 6 3 8 3
10-25 WNDS-TV 43 40 5 11 3
10-30 RKM Research 43 42 3 1 5
11-1 ARG 40 46 5 2 4

NM 9-26 POA 41 44 5 2 8 3
9-28 NM ST UNIV 42 42 4
9-30 MASON-DIXON 41 44 5
10-6 NM ST UNIV 42 42 5 0 10 4

OR 10-21 POA 38 43 7 2 9 3
10-30 ARG 45 44 6 2 4

PA 10-29 POA 42 45 4 2 8 3
10-18 CFLI 42 42 4 2 10 4
11-1 ARG 48 42 3 1 4
10-26 TARRENCE/LAKE 45 40 5 5 5 4.9
10-26 FOX NEWS 46 39 4
10-29 LATIMES 45 47 2 0 6 4
10-29 Keystone 42 43 5 1 9 4
11-4 Zogby Track. 45 43 7 1 4 4

TN 9-27 MASON-DIXON 43 46 4
10-18 MEDIA GENERAL 45 43 5
10-28 POA 44 45 3 1 7 3
11-1 ARG 49 43 2 4
11-4 Zogby Track. 46 46 4 4 4

WA 10-19 POA 41 41 7 2 8 3
10-20 ELWAY 46 37 4
10-22 PEW 45 45 4.5
11-4 Zogby Track. 46 43 7 2 1 4.5

WV 10-18 POA 42 44 3 2 9 3
10-24 OH STATE 37 46 4
10-23 RYAN-MCGINN 36 47 4
10-31 Gazette Poll 39 41 1 1 5

WI 11-2 POA 42 45 3 1 9 3
10-24 ST NORBERT 46 39 5 3 7 4.8
10-26 TARRANCE/LAKE 43 42 6 3 6 4.9
10-21 Harris 40 49 5 1 5 4
10-28 Market Shares 39 46 5 2 2 9
11-1 Research 2000 46 40 4 1 4
11-4 Zogby Track. 45 46 5 1 3 4