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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nichols who wrote (412)	11/5/2000 7:29:40 PM
From: Cisco	Respond to of 6710

Here is some of my rational. AR: Dickey(R) is leading Ross(D) in Democratic 4th district. Republican third district has shown largest increase in population and high voter turn out is expected in this Republican district. CA: Trending Bush. If it is known before polls close that Bush has won, I think it will go Bush. Big surprise of the night. DE: I flipped a coin and gave it to Gore. I think Roth may get beat as well. FL: It is trending toward Bush. Jeb will get out the vote. Key is Broward County. Dems feel like they need 200,000 margin in this county to win. It isn't going to happen. IL: Trending Gore. IA: 62% of undecided say they want a change. There is 10% undecided. During last three days of polling the polling was for Bush. ME: DUI will backfire on Connelly who only got 19% of the Vote in his run for Governor. He is a transplant from MA. MI: Polls except Zogby show Bush closing in on Gore. MI's top teamster official endorsed Bush on Saturday. Union vote cannot be counted on to all go for Gore. MN: Toss of a coin MO: Trending Bush. NH: A poll Saturday show Humphrey(R) may upset Shaheen(D) 45 to 41. May be enough to give Bush the state. PA: Trending Gore. TN: Republican state with a stepson running for President. It is going Bush. OR: Nader factor gives it to Bush. WA: Nader factor and fact that it will be known that Bush has won before the polls close will give it to Bush. WI: Control of State Senate is now in play!