Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TraderGreg who wrote (428)	11/5/2000 9:53:32 PM
From: Cisco	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 6710

Do you plan to make a firm prediction tomorrow?

To: TraderGreg who wrote (428)	11/6/2000 6:42:20 PM
From: russwinter	Respond to of 6710

I see it very similar to you. I show pretty solid Bush at 214, Gore at 196. Bush slight leans are AR, MO (rain forecast helps), NH, TN, NM (snow forecast) for 251. Gore leans are FL, PA, WA for 255. The coin flips are DE, ME, OR, IA and WI for 32 votes. I had IA slight lean Gore (up 1 to 2% polls), but back to coin toss because of rain. Factors in those coin flip states: Nadar switches to Gore and the weather. Neither a factor Tues. in DE. WI expects rain, 5% Nadar, a wash. Nadar polls 5% in ME, some to Gore if they want to determine the election, likely. OR is 10% Nadar, and some should switch. OR and ME take Gore to 266, with election outcome determined by Wisconsin, Iowa and Delaware. If DE goes Gore and WI and IA to Bush we have the election crisis at 269 each, made worse as Bush wins popular vote by 2%. Or nearly as bad, Gore barely sneaks by in either IA or WI, trails by 2% in popular vote and wins the election. Watch the upper midwest weather and students at Madison, Eugene and Iowa City. Polls close late in Wisconsin (9:00 EST), Iowa (10:00 EST), and Oregon (11:00 EST).Anybody seen signs these Nadar voters may hold out late for a switch in an ultra close election? weather forecast; usatoday.com