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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: johnd who wrote (52694)11/6/2000 10:04:57 AM
From: johnd  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74651
 
Rusty, Windows2000 server may be eating LNUX lunch
quote.yahoo.com



To: johnd who wrote (52694)11/6/2000 4:38:55 PM
From: Harvey Allen  Respond to of 74651
 
>There are 6 Billion people

Gates: PCs make you rich but won't feed the world

theregister.co.uk



To: johnd who wrote (52694)11/6/2000 6:55:26 PM
From: Dave  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74651
 
"Think about it, 180 [million] represents 3% of 6Billion world population. There is a long way to go."

Not really. Of the 6B population, let's say there are about 1B families. That 180M PCs is 18%. If the installed base grows by 20% per year, which it would have to in order to support those high share prices you've been targeting, in about nine years (1.20^9.4 * 18% = 100%), every family on the planet would have a PC. That includes every family, from desert nomad to hut dweller, and it ain't gonna happen! Even Bill Gates doesn't think that there is any point in trying to get PCs to most of the people on the planet. Let's worry about food, shelter, and health care first!

Dave