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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Boplicity who wrote (11945)11/6/2000 4:55:29 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 65232
 
I am expecting lots of curve balls with Cisco concall

if they claim soft forward guidance on their fiberoptic business,
that will be bad for Cisco but excellent for JDSU, SDLI, CIEN, GLW

since Cisco is wedded to SONET fiberoptic
and the J,S,C,G gang are wedded to more cost-effective WDM fiberoptic methods

just like NewTech and OldTech bifurcation
we have NewFiberOpt and OldFiberOpt
Cisco is heavily invested in the "wrong glass"
Uniphaz is 100% investd in the "right glass"

and then comes the whole debate over telcom capex spending

my guess is the market will take down the whole bunch
and sort it out over time

some nervous endday selling of CIEN today
including some CIEN after it dropped
down 10 in a flash as I turned my back

bought some SDLI, CIEN calls today

RMBS rose above its 18day MovAvg easily last week
then friday it rose above its 30day MA
today it touched and flirted all day with its 50dayMA
I unloaded my Feb RMBS calls and will re-evaluate over time
nice hefty profit in short order timeframe

batter up!
here comes a curve
/ jim