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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bigsablepoint who wrote (479)11/6/2000 3:16:06 PM
From: Nichols  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 6710
 
bigs- First, how do you figure that? I'll be the first one to disagree with you. At this point in time, Gore needs an awful lot of help to hit 270. If one state, such as PA or FL doesn't go his way, which is a very real possibility, he's done. He's gotta take Fl & PA, he needs Nader people in OR/WA, he's gotta hold onto IL/MI/MN & he still needs some help to put him over. Can be done, but everything MUST fall into place for Al. Here's hoping!



To: bigsablepoint who wrote (479)11/6/2000 3:29:23 PM
From: chomolungma  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6710
 
What is your popular vote prediction?

Mine is Bush 49.8, Gore 44.7, Nader and others 5.5.

I think it is very unlikely that Gore can lose the popular vote and win the electoral college. With New York and California now showing Gore ahead by about 15 and 10 percent respectively, it will offset some of the big gains that Bush has in Texas in the popular vote. Remember also, Bush wins a lot of small states where the population to electoral vote ratio is low.