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Politics : Al Gore vs George Bush: the moderate's perspective -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: JBTFD who wrote (5013)11/6/2000 5:00:40 PM
From: ColtonGang  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10042
 
Latest tracking poll shows Gore edging toward Bush
From Keating Holland
CNN Polling Director

November 6, 2000
Web posted at: 12:57 a.m. EST (0557 GMT)

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Sunday's CNN/USA Today/Gallup tracking poll confirms what many expected as Election Day approaches: The race for president has tightened -- but only slightly.

Texas Gov. George W. Bush, the GOP candidate, leads Democratic Vice President Al Gore among likely voters 47 percent to 45 percent. The poll, compiled from results gathered Saturday and Sunday, marks a 1 percentage point drop for Bush and a 2 percentage point gain for Gore from the previous tracking poll.

While small, the shifts are indicative of real-world changes among the voting public rather than statistical fluctuations.

The significant shift is not Bush's drop. Polls show his support has not fallen below 47 percent in over a week.

The important difference is that Gore has moved up to 45 percent for the first time in more than two and a half weeks. The gain appeared to come from self-described independent voters and liberals who previously had considered voting for Green Party candidate Ralph Nader.

One caveat: In past presidential races, contests have tightened as a candidate who was trailing suddenly enjoyed a burst of support in the campaign's closing days. History shows, however, that that new support fades by Election Day.

Whether the same will happen to Gore remains to be seen.

Nader drew the backing of 4 percent of those polled, a drop of 1 percentage point from Saturday's poll.

RESOURCES
View all the results from the CNN/USA Today/Gallup tracking poll


And Reform Party candidate Patrick Buchanan registered at 1 percent in the poll, which drew on interviews conducted November 4 and 5 with 2,386 likely voters.

Current polling data also show that last week's revelation about Bush's 1976 drunken driving conviction affected only a small number of voters. Most of those who said it made them change their views of Bush are Democrats.

CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP