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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: KLP who wrote (524)11/7/2000 1:08:57 AM
From: Cisco  Respond to of 6710
 
POA Poll released on Election Day shows Bush lead expanded to 9!

40% Al Gore
49% George W. Bush
1% Pat Buchanan
4% Ralph Nader
1% Harry Browne
0% Howard Phillips
0% John Hagelin
5% Not Sure

Rasmussen Research conducted these national telephone surveys of 3,750 likely voters on November 4, 5 and 6, 2000. The margin of sampling error is +/- 1.6 percentage points, with a 95% level of confidence.



To: KLP who wrote (524)11/7/2000 5:46:57 AM
From: Venditâ„¢  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6710
 
Presidential Tracking Poll

On election day, Portrait of America (POA) finds Texas Governor George W. Bush leads Vice President Al Gore by nine points, 49% to 40%. Ralph Nader has 4%. The Rasmussen Research telephone survey of 3,750 Likely Voters was conducted for Portrait of America on Saturday, Sunday, and Monday, November 4, 5, and 6.

In the electoral college, Bush leads 224 to 168, with 146 electoral votes in the toss-up category.

A review of our tracking data over the past seven months indicates that Campaign 2000 has not been a volatile whirlwind as reported in many media outlets. Partisan voters knew back in March how they would vote. Less partisan voters have been gradually making up their minds over the past seven months in a manner that is anything but volatile.

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Voter Details, Six Day Sample

Six days worth of Presidential demographics


During the final full week of campaigning and polling in Campaign 2000, Rasmussen Research interviewed 7,500 Likely Voters for the daily Portrait of America (POA) national Presidential Tracking Poll.

This six-day track shows Texas Governor George W. Bush attracting 46.9% of the vote to Vice President Al Gore's 41.4%. Green Party candidate Ralph Nader is the choice for 3.9% of all voters.

Here are some additional details from the six-day sample:

91.7% of Gore voters say they're sure that's how they'll vote on election day. 91.8% of Bush voters say the same thing.

Among the 5.6% who are undecided, 28.9% say they'd pull the lever for Gore if they had to make a choice. 19.4% say they'd select Bush. Most undecided voters (51.6%), however, say they're not sure who they'd pick if forced to choose. It is likely these voters will stay home on Election Day.

Gore is viewed favorably by 42.9% of the voters, unfavorably by 48.2%. For Bush, the numbers are 48.6 favorable and 42.0 unfavorable.

64.4% of voters place themselves in the political center (moderate or somewhat conservative). 16.6% identify themselves to the right of center as "very conservative" while 17.3% are to the left of center ("somewhat liberal" or "very liberal.").

38.1% of voters say Al Gore is in the political center, while 49.4% see the Democratic candidate as somewhat or very liberal.

63.4% see George W. Bush in the political center, while 24.2% see him to the right of center.

14.6% rate the way things are going in the United States these days as Excellent. 42.7% say Good; 30.2% say Only Fair; and 10.6% rate the state of the nation as Poor.

Al Gore leads among women, 46.9% to 42.8%. George W. Bush leads among men, 51.3% to 35.5%.

Bush does best among 30-somethings (52.7% to 35.5%) and 40-somethings (48.0% to 40.0%). Gore does best among seniors (45.7% to 43.6%) and under 30 voters (43.1% for Gore to 43.2% for Bush).

88.9% of Republicans will vote for Bush. 82.1% of Democrats say they'll vote for Gore. Unaffiliated voters are breaking for Bush 36.4% to 31.6% with Nader picking up 11.3% of these votes.

portraitofamerica.com