SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Gold/Mining/Energy : Agnico-Eagle Mines Ltd. - AGE (U.S. AEM) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Robert J Mullenbach who wrote (1233)11/7/2000 6:50:35 PM
From: Roebear  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1612
 
Robert,
Me too, I added AEM today. Without their fundamentals and a good reputation for telling the truth I couldn't/wouldn't do it. But I am expanding a rather large position as long as they are giving it away around the $5 price.

Currently have the largest AEM position ever, even larger than I had in Sept of 98. Thanks to oil profits I don't have to margin to the hilt to do it.

Robert, now we will see, whether my "secret" election indicator works!

Best Regards,

Roebear



To: Robert J Mullenbach who wrote (1233)11/7/2000 6:58:22 PM
From: Roebear  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1612
 
Robert,
Here are some good mentions of AEM:

globeinvestor.com

Gold bulls pinning hopes on the U.S. dollar falling
With bullion trading near a 20-year low, a weaker currency could lift the metal

Allan Robinson
03:16 EST Tuesday, November 07, 2000

Beaten-up gold bulls are pinning their dwindling hopes on a weakening of the robust U.S. dollar as the spark that could
help bullion rise. Rise from the dead, that is.

The bulls have been crushed. With bullion trading at close to its 20-year low and with the Toronto Stock Exchange's gold
and precious minerals index trading at levels not seen since 1986, it seems there is nowhere for gold to go but up.

"The survivability of some of [the gold mining] companies today is in question," said John Ing, the president of Maison
Placements Inc. "Even the big ones -- with gold trading at $264.50 (U.S.) an ounce -- are having trouble making a dollar."

It is just these dire circumstances that some suggest indicates a bottom is forming.

"At current bullion prices gold production cannot be sustained in the long-term," CIBC World Markets stated in a recently
issued 168-page report on gold. "With little capital for development and dwindling exploration budgets, a crash in
production is coming" beyond 2002.

Companies have cut costs, shut down marginal operations and mined high-grade ore as prices have fallen, but times remain
tough. "We believe that the industry has done about all it can and now must rely on the gold price to offer improvements
going forward," CIBC World Markets said.

Making a bullish case, CIBC suggests it's the looming supply shortage that might eventually trigger a recovery for gold with
a price surge of $100 possible.

But not all are convinced. "Indeed, it is essentially only the dollar that makes us mildly bullish for next year -- the decline in
mine output that is projected for the next several years being too marginal to make much of a difference" said Martin
Murenbeeld of M. Murenbeeld & Associates Inc., the author of the Gold Monitor, an industry newsletter.

A decline in the U.S. dollar would make gold relatively less expensive around the world thereby boosting jewellery
demand, and some think investors outside of the United States might shift money to gold as an alternative to the U.S.
dollar.

"What we need is the generalist [fund manager] to look back at this sector," said Catherine Gignac of UBS Warburg. "That
will take a fundamental move in gold." She believes a decline in the U.S. dollar could spark the rise in gold needed to
attract investor attention.

"Gold has been wallowing like the Canadian dollar and the euro," Mr. Ing said. Both have been hurt by the overwhelming
strength of the U.S. dollar.

Gold, when priced in Australian dollars, the South African rand and the euro, looks strong because of steep declines in
those currencies.

But there remain plenty of reasons for the concerns about gold. There are few signs of inflation: interest rates remain high,
prospects of slower economic growth reducing demand and continued selling of bullion by central banks.

As a result, analysts are taking a conservative approach, recommending investors stay away from marginal gold producers,
which will need a rally in gold, and stick with more conservative gold plays.

Their favourites among the smaller companies are Toronto-based Agnico-Eagle Mines Inc. and Goldcorp Inc., both of
which are starting to mine new rich orebodies. Nevada-based Meridian Gold Inc., with its rich El Penon mine in Chile, is
another they like.

Topping the list of the majors is Barrick Gold Corp. of Toronto, which has seen its share price slump along with the
industry's. Barrick made more money from gold hedging profits than it made from mining, Mr. Ing said. "I don't think Peter
Munk [Barrick's chairman] would have believed his stock would be where it is today."

UBS Warburg has been "looking for defensive ways of playing the gold sector," Ms. Gignac said. The company likes
Agnico-Eagle because it mines a polymetallic deposit that lowers its average gold cost and Newmont Mining Corp. for its copper, which comes along with the gold.



To: Robert J Mullenbach who wrote (1233)11/14/2000 2:53:03 PM
From: Yogizuna  Respond to of 1612
 
It will be extremely interesting to see what the "gold cartel" will do about China's opening up of their gold market! It just may prove to be a bit too much for them to handle..... Yogi