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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Cisco who wrote (534)11/7/2000 7:26:45 AM
From: Venditâ„¢  Respond to of 6710
 
I just returned from voting. I watched the ballots dropping in the slot. You can read others votes from 20 feet away. I saw 0 ballots marked Gore out of the 15 or so that I could see. The general age group there was about 35 to 70, about 50/50 male vs female.



To: Cisco who wrote (534)11/7/2000 7:38:44 AM
From: Venditâ„¢  Respond to of 6710
 
Im not sure if this link will work but it is a PF link to the battle Ground polling data charts through last night.

tarrance.com

If it won work it can be seen under "Final-Charts" here>>

tarrance.com



To: Cisco who wrote (534)11/7/2000 9:24:49 AM
From: Elvis Jones  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6710
 
Isn't that Goeas/Lake Prediction instead of Poll results?

Yes it was their prediction. The last ballot was 45.5 Bush, 40.5 Gore, 3.5 Nader.

It appears they really worked hard to make their prediction. They each gave 4.5 points to Bush and Gore, zero to Nader and 1.2 to other.



To: Cisco who wrote (534)11/7/2000 10:29:42 AM
From: TraderGreg  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6710
 
"Data, data, data...I need data. One cannot make bricks without clay."--Sherlock Holmes

The 95% confidence interval that I put out is a summary of Vendit's post where 100 simulations are run.

The difference of course, is the data itself. In Vendit's simulation, I believe he used Rasmussen; I used Zogby.

The single stumbling block to the deification of statisticians is the quality of the initial data.

TG