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Politics : Al Gore vs George Bush: the moderate's perspective -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Mr. Palau who wrote (5045)	11/7/2000 10:07:36 AM
From: Slugger	Respond to of 10042

POA Presidential Tracking Poll Shows Bush has the Momentum On election day, Portrait of America (POA) finds Texas Governor George W. Bush leads Vice President Al Gore by nine points, 49% to 40%. Ralph Nader has 4%. The Rasmussen Research telephone survey of 3,750 Likely Voters was conducted for Portrait of America on Saturday, Sunday, and Monday, November 4, 5, and 6. In the electoral college, Bush leads 224 to 168, with 146 electoral votes in the toss-up category. portraitofamerica.com

To: Mr. Palau who wrote (5045)	11/7/2000 10:11:23 AM
From: Slugger	Respond to of 10042

LATEST ZOGBY TRACKING POLLS FROM NewsMax.com Tuesday Morning Zogby Numbers: Let last night tracking polls show the race too close to call, with Gore holding a slight lead in Zogby poll numbers. The final poll shows: 48% -- Gore 46% -- Bush 5% -- Nader ..5% -- Buchanan More: newsmax.com Zogby Final Battleground: California Moves Toward Bush Zogby final battleground numbers show the election may be a dead heat: California: 45% -- Bush 45% -- Gore 6% -- Nader Pennsylvania: 42% -- Bush 51% -- Gore 5% -- Nader Tennessee: 52% -- Bush 45% -- Gore 2% -- Nader Washington: 43% -- Bush 45% -- Gore 2% -- Nader Wisconsin: 46% -- Bush 46% -- Gore 6% -- Nader Florida: 46% -- Bush 48% -- Gore 6% -- Nader Illinois 50% -- Gore 43% -- Bush 5% -- Nader Michigan 45% -- Bush 51% -- Gore 4% -- Nader Missouri 48% -- Bush 47% -- Gore 3% -- Nader

To: Mr. Palau who wrote (5045)	11/7/2000 10:20:19 AM
From: Slugger	Respond to of 10042

Battleground 2000 Pollsters Predict Bush Win. Final Voter.com Battleground 2000 Projection: Bush 45, Gore 40 November 07, 2000 By Lowell Weiss Voter.com News (Voter.com, Nov. 7) – While the electoral vote remains too close to call, the final Voter.com Battleground 2000 tracking poll projects a five-point margin of victory for GOP nominee George W. Bush in the popular vote. Republican pollster Ed Goeas and Democrat Celinda Lake predict that when all votes are tallied, Bush will end up with 50 percent, Democrat Al Gore with 45 percent, Green Party nominee Ralph Nader with 3.5 percent, and all others will share 1.5 percent. Goeas and Lake’s final prediction is based not only on the so-called "four-way, aided ballot" question (reproduced here), but also on several other parts of their daily survey, including results from a "turnout" model that attempts to weed out those voters who say they are likely to vote but who may not actually do so. Goeas and Lake’s survey has a margin of error of 3.1 percent. The survey shows that Bush will ride to popular-vote victory with the overwhelming support of men and married voters. Men favor Bush over Gore by a 13-point margin, 50 percent vs. 37 percent. Among married voters, Bush holds a 15-point advantage, 51 percent vs. 36 percent. Gore’s advantage among women voters, which reached 11-points a month ago, has fallen over recent weeks. Gore is now projected to win the women’s vote by only two points (43 percent vs. 41 percent). His lead among single voters, however, remains as large as ever. Based on this survey, Gore should win by 24 points (54 percent vs. 30 percent), but that is not enough to erase his deficits among other demographic groups. In the all-important race to pick up seats in the U.S. Congress, Democrats appear to have regained their slight edge. In the survey released today, 44 percent of likely voters indicated that they will cast their ballots for the Democratic candidate in their district, while 42 percent said they would vote for the Republican candidate. If the Voter.com Battleground projections prove accurate tonight and Bush does go on to win the popular vote and perhaps the presidency, one set of numbers that will haunt Gore supporters for many years is the "Right Direction/ Wrong Track" survey result. Throughout the past two months of daily Battleground tracking, likely voters who say that the country is moving in the "right direction" consistently have outnumbered those who say that the country is on the "wrong track." Today’s final Voter.com Battleground daily survey is no exception: "right direction" tops "wrong track" by six-points, a margin that should have given Gore, the incumbent vice president, a decisive advantage at the polls. election.voter.com