Could you (Ariba) be another MICROSOFT (MSFT), as far as investors are concerned? [Krach, Ariba CEO] "Absolutely"
Zero In Issue #85
Ariba
Keith J. Krach, Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO Interviewed by George S. Mack
Business-to-business is big business. When a resort hotel, for example, buys napkins, it may procure a million at a time. When a government agency buys cleaning supplies or food, it's by the carload. When a major corporation buys paper and toner – well, you get the idea. It all adds up to trillions of dollars. As soon as B2B e-commerce software company ARIBA (ARBA) got its initial start-up funding back in September 1996, the first thing the founders did, even before writing a single line of code, was to begin meeting with procurement people from Fortune 500 companies. ARIBA's top brass asked them two things: First, how were they making purchases at that time; and second, if they could wave a magic wand, how would they like to buy operating resource goods and services for their companies in the future? Today, ARIBA puts the very largest buyers and sellers together in electronic marketplaces on the Internet, and the company is now expected to have $1.32 billion in revenue fiscal 2002, which ends in Sept. 2002. In the year to date, ARIBA shares, which closed at $132.88 on Nov. 3, are up 40% in the year-to-date, while the Nasdaq Composite is down 15% for the same period.
[THE INTERNET ANALYST – GEORGE S. MACK] Keith, could you give me the briefest description of what ARIBA does?
[KEITH J. KRACH] Absolutely. We provide the platform and network that connects businesses to different businesses and allows them to conduct commerce over the Internet, and it brings unprecedented value to them.
[GSM] What are some of your main products?
[KJK] We have a marketplace product, Ariba Marketplace, a buyer-side product, Ariba Buyer, a dynamic-pricing product, Ariba Commerce Services Network, and a trading product, Ariba Dynamic Trade.
[GSM] Tell me about the dynamic-trading product.
[KJK] That's auctioning – forward and reverse auctioning – over the Internet. It's like an EBAY (EBAY) on steroids.
[GSM] You obviously have a license and maintenance revenue model, but you also receive a cut from transactions conducted by buyers and sellers. Is that correct?
[KJK] There are two forms of that: One is the percentage of revenue on the marketplaces, and the other is percentage of the commerce services on the network.
[GSM] What about your subscription model?
[KJK] For a number of products, we have a subscription-based model, but there's also a subscription to the network. It's a fee for hooking up to the network.
[GSM] I spoke with Ed Kinsey, your CFO, at the Banc of America Growth Conference in San Francisco, and he was quite excited about your alliances with I2 (ITWO) and IBM (IBM). You are now training 1,500 IBM employees. Is this a revenue-sharing arrangement?
[KJK] With IBM, it's a multi-dimensional relationship. IBM is reselling our products around the world – that's probably what Ed was referring to. And we share some revenue along those lines. IBM also has a go-to-market strategy with its hardware and middleware product. Also, its global services unit is a very strong partner for us for many of our customers. The other is that IBM has standardized on ARIBA for its B2B e-commerce platform for internal use.
[GSM] There's been a little bit of concern on the Street about your partner I2, which excluded you from a SIEMENS (SMAWY) contract that will include your other alliance partner IBM. That deal will also include your direct competitor COMMERCE ONE (CMRC). Did this disappoint you? What's going on here?
[KJK] There's so much opportunity out there that it's incredible. But, would we have liked to have been part of the SIEMENS deal? Sure. However, there are so many big deals. For example, DEERE (DE) chose the ARIBA B2B e-commerce platform to help transform its purchasing processes and to power other e-commerce efforts. Also, we've assisted with Procuron, a newly created marketplace bringing together the five largest banks in Canada. So there are all kinds of big deals out there.
[GSM] A couple of the big ERPs [enterprise resource planning software companies] are competing with you – specifically ORACLE (ORCL) and SAP (SAP). I was wondering if you might consider PEOPLESOFT (PSFT) as a possible new alliance. It could be a natural vendor and integrator of your products.
[KJK] We certainly have a very strong integration to PEOPLESOFT's software. If you look at our customers, many of them have standardized on PEOPLESOFT financial and HR [human resources] products – companies like AMERICAN EXPRESS (AXP) or American Honda Motor, a division of HONDA MOTOR (HMC).
[GSM] Are there any new alliance partners of the caliber of IBM or I2?
[KJK] We just recently announced a major multi-dimensional alliance with SOFTBANK (SFTBF) in Japan. As you know, SOFTBANK is the No. 1 technology company in Japan. It's a four-part alliance. First, SOFTBANK will use our e-commerce platform for all of its internal operations. Second, SOFTBANK will build a horizontal marketplace for its subsidiary companies. Third, it will build 10 vertical markets in the construction field. And fourth, SOFTBANK will develop commerce services for our network in Japan. The company also invested $40 million in ARIBA Japan.
[GSM] I understand that 80% to 85% of your revenue came from the United States in the third quarter. It appears that Asia and Europe could present unbelievable opportunities for you. How long will it be before you begin to exploit those markets?
[KJK] Our business in Europe, Asia, and Latin and South America is growing at a tremendous clip. I think this quarter growth was at 20%. If you look at some of our international customers – NEC (NIPNY) and SONY (SNE) in Japan – they have standardized on ARIBA. Look at VOLKSWAGEN (VLKAY) and BMW (BAMXF) in Germany; Swissair [part of SAIRGROUP (SAIRF)] and HOLDERBANK (HFGCY) in Switzerland; ABN AMRO HOLDING (ABN), PHILIPS ELECTRONICS (PHG) and ING GROUP (ING) in the Netherlands; and in the United Kingdom, LLOYDS TSB GROUP (LLOY). So it's really beginning to ramp.
[GSM] I'm looking at your deferred revenue, which was up 30% from the previous quarter, as opposed to the previous quarter when deferred revenue rose 82%. You added $46 million in deferreds this quarter, vs. $68 million last quarter. Is it possible that your phenomenal growth could be slowing down just a bit?
[KJK] I think we will continue to see very strong growth. We're very pleased with moving our deferred revenue from $154 million to roughly $200 million. It was very close to what we were expecting.
[GSM] I understand that only about a third of your 435-plus customers are using more than one of your products. When do you expect to aggressively cross-sell these customers?
[KJK] That's going on right now. That's one of the beauties of our business model. A lot of the e-procurement customers are buying marketplaces, and a lot of the marketplaces are buying e-procurement. For example, the big Transora deal we won is the first global industry-led marketplace in the consumer products industry. It was formed by more than 50 of the world's leading consumer products companies, and its investors represent a combined purchasing power of $500 billion – more than half of the global consumer products industry. They came in and bought from an e-procurement standpoint.
[GSM] I was looking at ARIBA's one-year total return of 218%, as of Oct. 27, and you have far outpaced your direct competitors – COMMERCE ONE, up 129% for the same period, PURCHASEPRO.COM (PPRO), up 98%, and VERTICALNET (VERT), down 3%. What sets you apart from them?
[KJK] I don't think there's any doubt that the acceleration we're seeing in market share is the result of the success of our early customers and the quantifiable benefits they've received from standardizing on our e-commerce platform.
[GSM] How big is your addressable market?
[KJK] That's a tough question. The industry analysts say that by 2005, $7 trillion worth of transactions will be conducted over the Internet. I think it's the biggest market the world has ever seen.
[GSM] How big do you think you can get?
[KJK] I think very, very big. Our objective is to clearly be the leader.
[GSM] Could you be another MICROSOFT (MSFT), as far as investors are concerned?
[KJK] Absolutely. |