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To: Ibexx who wrote (116225)11/8/2000 5:23:49 PM
From: Saturn V  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 186894
 
Does anybody have any data on election recounts ?

What percentage change are seen typically in recounts? In the language of statistics, what is standard deviation in an election recount ?

The recount should statistically ( > 50% odds) give Bush an equivalent or better count. (Unless Systematic errors are found which favor Gore.)

The 3000 absentee ballot are unlikely to tip the balance. Even if we assume that 66% of the absentee ballots favor Gore, Bush is the likely winner. And I dont like this scenario.



To: Ibexx who wrote (116225)11/8/2000 5:44:33 PM
From: Road Walker  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Ibexx,

re: What are the constitutional provisions/mechanisms, for "re-doing" a national election at the state level?

Guessing. I don't think it's constitutional. I believe the election is challenged in Florida court, and that there is a large burden of proof that many voters didn't get the opportunity to effectively vote. It's VERY rare for a vote to be disqualified, but I do believe a local vote in Dade county was recently reversed because of vote fraud.

MHO, there must be someone on the thread that knows more than I do.

John



To: Ibexx who wrote (116225)11/12/2000 3:51:48 AM
From: nihil  Respond to of 186894
 
The new US house of representatives decides which electors chosen by the state to accept. If Florida sent in the Bush electors votes, the House would accept and that would be that. If Florida sent in no electoral votes (perhaps because of a court order), the majority of the other state votes would be accepted. If Florida sent in the votes by another election, and it arrived by Jan 6, the House could accept them, or none, or earlier results. The new House will have a Republican majority both of representatives and of states.