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Gold/Mining/Energy : North American Palladium(AMEX:PAL)- PGM Producer -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Elizabeth Andrews who wrote (749)11/9/2000 9:11:42 PM
From: Sleeper  Respond to of 976
 
I'll bet that this quarter will have the lowest cost per ounce ever no matter what the mining-mill rate is. Are you on for the bet?

Elizabeth, you sly fox! That's a sucker bet and you know it!

Here's how I look at it. Even if the cost/oz. doubles to US $160/oz. the margin is still obscene at something like US $600/ oz at today's prices. At 30k oz/quarter, that's still about $.38/share, or an annualized $1.60/share. That's a P/E of 4.5!

None of this factors either an increase in Pd prices OR the anticipated increase in through put. I guess you could always say this has not come to fruition, but knowing Kaiser-Francis as I do, I consider the mine expansion a done deal. As for the price of Pd... well, the supply/demand ratio is in my favor.

I think I'll hold my NAP a little longer.

Sleeper



To: Elizabeth Andrews who wrote (749)11/10/2000 4:55:50 PM
From: Davy Crockett  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 976
 
Hi Elizabeth,
Boy, you are one smart lady. I hope you don't mind, but I have you book marked, and, I am generally impressed with the way that you dissect companies.

FWIW, I have been in this one quite a few times.

I missed the last run up.
I, depending on the price & momo, may play this one again... although with the slowing economy, I'm not sure how to play it.... long or short ( I wish; it's in my wife's RRSP)... time will tell.
Regards,
Peter