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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bill who wrote (1284)11/9/2000 11:02:50 AM
From: TraderGreg  Respond to of 6710
 
You may find it faulty, but did you do one?

I looked at every state in 1992 and those that were slam dunks for Bush, I gave to him (I didn't even give Clinton a single vote if Perot had not been in the race)

I focused on ONLY the states Clinton won in '92 and realized that Perot's exit from the race could have only made a difference if Bush had gotten upwards to 70+ of the TOTAL vote. In 1992, Clinton was indeed getting some of the Perot vote cause back then he looked like a Populist, remember back then, not today, back then.

Two thirds of the Perot voters were totally new voters, verified by polling data, so there is NO way Bush could have gotten 60, 70% of the entire Perot vote when such a larger number of them admitted that they would not have voted. The Nader people did not make that claim.

But, you're right, I'm done with the Perot issue as well.

TG