To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (78464 ) 11/10/2000 12:26:45 PM From: BigBull Respond to of 95453 Oh my Slider, aren't we having fun? Oooo yeahh! ;o} Seriously, I truly hope you are correct and that Bush gets "certified" by next Tuesday. If he does, then I think a good rally will unfold. However, I do not think that Gore and company has any such plans for going gently into that good night. This is evidenced by many statements of top Gore campaign operatives. Prima Facie evidence:washingtonpost.com It's already in the courts, in Palm County. The clear intention of the lawyer for the plaintiff is to halt certification . At any rate, I do not now believe that Bush will be certified until the 17th until the absentee ballots are counted. This will give the Gore campaign plenty of time to create further mischief, which I firmly believe they will attempt. But hey, I'm paranoid, don't ya know! ;o} Still, this is totally typical of the Clinton/Gore defense tactics used during the impeachment hearing, ie. Defend in depth, buy time, demonize your enemy until he is dead politically. Will it work again? Don't know. But the political tombstones of many a Republican stalwart are testiment to it's effectiveness. At any rate, I don't see any real sustainable stock market rallies until the Street becomes convinced interest rate cuts are on the way. IMO this is the only thing that will allow investors to "look over the valley" of the 2 to 3 qtrs of horrible earnings comps coming. By sustainable rally, I mean a broad rally that lasts more than a few weeks. When I see the VIX get over 40 I'll start swinging into the bullish camp. BWDIK About oils? You could be quite right $40 oil might pop the patch. But it could also annihilate the rest of the market, so setting stops, particularly trailing stops are sound tactics. I do find OSX strength here encouraging. So where's the peak of any potential OSX rally in your view? 130, 140, 160? I still say the best way of playing the commodity is via futures, not stocks.