SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : VALENCE TECHNOLOGY (VLNC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: lws who wrote (22202)11/10/2000 3:09:25 PM
From: Rashomon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27311
 
Perhaps the conference call was Lev's attempt to talk the price down to get more friends in ;-). Seriously, it was an awful call. He should have addressed the manufacturing problems and revenues ahead of the questions, as well as the lack of licensing revenue. It's impossible to believe he knows nothing of the licensing cash flows. If the news yesterday hadn't offered such promise, VLNC would be tagging 12 today. Had we had a good conference call, even with the problems internally and in the market, it would have broken 20 today, IMHO. Lev seemed ill-tempered, under-informed, and unprepared to answer questions straight forwardly. I'm still long, but this call was a disappointment.



To: lws who wrote (22202)11/10/2000 3:45:24 PM
From: Robert Cohen  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27311
 
I could not agree more. I spoke to Ed MCnally at FRB last week who indicated that he was also not pleased with the quality of question. He said he would be willing to accept questions via email to submit to the CC.

On another note, my only remaining doubts continue to be the question of can we make volume batteries (many 100K/month)at acceptable yields and at a profit. I think we must demostrate this not only to prospective licensees but to OEMs and to the investment community. This has not been demonstrated to my satisfaction. For me to maintain my sizable positon, I must have faith in management, the business plan and the technology and remain patient. It will become more important in the next 2 quarters whether Valence can in fact ramp up production, increase yields, and lower costs. There is no doubt in my mind that Li-Poly will be the dominate technology for the portable and wireless revolution in both performance, design flexability,safety and cost for the forseeable future. Valence is in the enviable position of now now being the potential dominate force in this market.

Other musings:

The issue of revenue stream from the existing Telcordia/Bellcore licensees is unimportant. Lev sees a warehouse sitting on a large piece of property that he wishes to develope into a manufacturing facility. He cares not what the income from the warehouse is.

Although I feel I have a resonable feel for the manufacuring process, it has become apparent that there is no oportunity for me to make investment decisions based on which lines are installed, the back end processes etc etc. I will instead focus on the status of the various contracts and future licensing agreements, the volume of batteries shipped/month, yields, and cost/sales numbers. Why heck with that new WEB site (Hey Robert Pointer, I doesn't look like the bac seat of a junked out Ford anymore:)why not put up a counter with a running total of the number of Watt hours shipped.

It would seem that potential licensees could begin using powders, laminate and certain processes almost imediately. Existing licensees with installed assembly equipment could likewise convert, then test, then produce within 3-6 months. New manufacturing facilities, physical plant, equipment could be years away. Look how delivery of VLNC's high speed,varible format has been delayed.

Regards,

Robert



To: lws who wrote (22202)11/10/2000 5:30:15 PM
From: bigcue2000  Respond to of 27311
 
Hello lws. Thanks for the response. I was beginning to think inventory buildup didn't mean anything. With revenue of $2,100,000 for the quarter and an inventory buildup of $2,668,000 over the same period, there must be some explainable reason why more of the end product hadn't "gone out the door" before the end of the quarter. Look forward to seeing you folks at the next SH meeting (if not before). Regards, Bigcue