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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: bigsablepoint who wrote (68864)	11/10/2000 2:55:22 PM
From: microhoogle!	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 769667

Many people were saying POA and Battleground are the correct ones. Mainstream pollsters are liberal and misleading people. Ha ha ha ha. A bunch of whackos who rate Rush as the best thing since sliced bread!!

To: bigsablepoint who wrote (68864)	11/10/2000 3:05:57 PM
From: Mr. Whist	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 769667

Re: inaccuracy of POA and Battleground polls: Limbaugh's theory was that Dubya's DWI conviction hurt more than realized and wasn't reflected in the last polling; that the polls didn't reflect Nader's loss of voters on Monday and Tuesday when it came down to crunch time; and I think he also mentioned that the majority of undecideds voted for Gore. There might have been another reason or two. My theory is this: the POA and Battleground polls, for whatever sampling reason, are biased toward Republicans. At least POA is geared toward those "likely to vote," and we had millions of "unlikely" voters actually vote on Tuesday. I also think that POA was more accurate than the others in '96 simply because many people stayed away from the polls when Clinton beat Dole -- because it was a foregone conclusion that Clinton would win. Therefore, the actual spread may have been much higher than Clinton's actual winning margin, thus giving false credibility to POA in '96. I think Zogby was the best, by far, this election.