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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: HairBall who wrote (62220)11/11/2000 2:10:39 PM
From: Lee Lichterman III  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
>>how do you deal with what may seem to be diverging indices that address the same exchange or market segment. IE: NDX, QQQ, NQ00Z & COMPX<<

I think you just have to dig into what makes up each index and how they are weighted. I was going to buy some XLK a few weeks ago as a proxy to the NASDAQ but luckily pulled up the components and weighting for it. It seemed more weighted towards Semis and Telecom than the NDX was so I passed. I think the same is true of the QQQs versus the NDX etc. They are supposed to match as close as possible but without the exact proportions to the tracked index, disparities are going to be experienced. This can either be an advantage or disadvantage depending on what you are trying to do. In other words, if you want to short the NASDAQ but think Semis will get hurt the most and don't want to short the SOX itself, you could go with the XLKs. If you want to target the networkers but not the NWK, you pick the QQQ etc. ( Note I am only throwing our general examples and am not advocating these approaches specifically). As for the NDX versus the NASDAQ, that is simply the skewing due to the smaller caps in the NASDAQ versus the Mo Mo favorite top 100 in the NDX. The smaller Biotechs were strong causing the NASDAQ to hold up slightly better than the NDX recently. Of course this is all JMHO.

Good Luck,

Lee



To: HairBall who wrote (62220)11/11/2000 3:59:37 PM
From: theniteowl  Respond to of 99985
 
LG, appreciate the time you will take to update some of the charts and commentary this weekend. Each person has their own area of expertise and combining the knowledge from various sources gives a much better indication of what lies ahead, of course the time element also comes into play, for example some may wish to trade the lines of a pattern while others will wait for a breakout. Looking forward to the updates. Thanks again.