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To: KLP who wrote (36)11/16/2000 9:53:37 PM
From: levy  Respond to of 43
 
GORE WINS here is the Levy analysis

I can't believe none of the networks have looked at this data...I guess they are chicken to make any more predictions

there were 25 counties that used voting machines that used that stupid hole puncher device..........total democratic votes in those counties are 1852926 total republican votes are 1644629 ...or 208297 in the plus column for Gore....now in Palm Beach where they did do a one percent recount they found 19 additional votes for Gore and in that county the difference was 117000.....so if we extrapolate out gore would get about 1900 more votes if the number was 117000 but its 208297 so he should get about 3000 more votes from the recount across the state which at the end of the day will happen....how many votes to the plus will Bush get from Absentee...heard best guess on the news today is about 500 so if thats the case 300 he has now plus 500 or a total of 800 so it looks like not enough and Gore wins it by about 2200 votes.....I am sure this already is figured out in the Bush camp so expect big fights ahead to block the recount.

election.dos.state.fl.us
enight.dos.state.fl.us



To: KLP who wrote (36)11/22/2000 12:00:08 PM
From: levy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 43
 
Change Order.... Gore wins vote tally in Florida but Bush wins on technicality because Democrats make major mistakes

The Democratic Supreme Court of Florida had an opportunity to be nonpartisan by
forcing a manual count of all counties and instructing in the rules by which ballots
should be acceptable....failing in this regard gives the Republicans a valid argument
to invalidate the entire recount process.

In addition the Miami Dade decision to examine only the 10000 under votes is
another major Democratic Party mistake.....since more people voted for Gore in
that county this clearly favors Gore.....but for this to be an accurate reflection of
the voters then those ballots with a clear cut hole plus a dimple should be excluded
from the count...this would also favor Gore but such duel candidate selections will
never be found by only examining the undervote.......the Republicans will be able
to use this type of obvious bias to help invalidate the entire manual recount
process......

Considering the Republican make up of the Florida legislature and these
Democratic mistakes a Bush win is now certain whether he has the votes or not.