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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack -- A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: AllansAlias who wrote (35442)11/12/2000 9:05:44 PM
From: donald sew  Respond to of 42787
 
Allan,

Nice set of charts.



To: AllansAlias who wrote (35442)11/12/2000 9:13:38 PM
From: Secret_Agent_Man  Respond to of 42787
 
great charts...pics worth several thousand bucks. eom



To: AllansAlias who wrote (35442)11/12/2000 9:24:53 PM
From: bobby beara  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42787
 
excellent charts aa, especially those breaks out of the bear flags, thats why i was surprised that many on this thread seemed to be eager to buy fridays low.

stockcharts.com[L,A]WALLYYMY[PB50!B200][VC60][IUB14!LA12,26,9]

actually if you drop off the panic spike lows (sentiment anomaly - only bad traders got caught there) and draw a trendline up the 94 power alley on the closing weekly prices, the line follows the spx wedge fairly decently, with a break of the trendline right off the top.

you can even draw a triangle off the rsi and show the break off the top, many bears have been pointing out the momentum divergence for well over a year now, but to yet it hasn't yielded the big reversal they've been looking for, maybe this is it.



To: AllansAlias who wrote (35442)11/12/2000 10:11:31 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor  Respond to of 42787
 
Beautiful analysis, Allan. Thanks.



To: AllansAlias who wrote (35442)11/13/2000 9:48:38 AM
From: Paul Shread  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42787
 
Great stuff, AA, thanks. I was looking at SPX and COMPX charts over the weekend, and both look like bear flag/pennant breakdowns. So how big is the pole? I think it's easy on the COMPX -- 1200 points; this has been the first real consolidation since the Sept. 1 peak. So depending on where you mark the breakdown point (anywhere from 3400-3000), the COMPX has downside potential to 1800-2200. Sure is funny seeing a "2" handle on the COMPX. FWIW, a 61.8% retracement of the 1357-5132 run would be 2799; in Fib terms, that would be the bulls' last stand.

The SPX is a little trickier -- it had a fairly sizeable rectangle in the 1420-1460 area, so the pole on that flag is anywhere from 115 points to 230 (the 1530) top. The breakdown on the flag is clear (1390) -- so the SPX has downside potential to either 1275 or 1160 -- anyone's guess which. The SPX log trendline break is interesting; the classical TA interpretation would be that a close 2% below that line (1335) would spell the end of the bull market.

All the above offered with a big "BWDIK." ;-) Good trading, and thanks for your insightful posts.

Paul



To: AllansAlias who wrote (35442)11/17/2000 4:35:12 PM
From: Paul Shread  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42787
 
Just got our first weekly close before the SPX 94 log trendline, I believe.



To: AllansAlias who wrote (35442)12/5/2000 3:51:58 PM
From: Paul Shread  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42787
 
AA, It's that time again: where's the SPX 94 log trendline this month? I'm guessing around 1388 or so. Many thanks.

Paul