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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nandu who wrote (2143)	11/13/2000 9:54:01 AM
From: TraderGreg	Respond to of 6710

<<This will also explain the apparent statistical abberation of Gore picking twice as many new votes as Bush in the first recount (commented on on this thread by TraderGreg).>> Just to clarify, Gore's largest absolute net gains in the 1st recount(automated)were in Palm Beach and Pinellas(net of +643 and +356). His next five highest were in 3 counties that Bush won and 2 counties that Gore won. Bush's largest absolute net gains were in counties that he won. In the 1% hand count sample in Palm Beach County, since Gore gained 33 and Bush gained 14, it appears that the hand count is adding new votes to the total. If you assume "missed machine votes" are randomly distributed, Gore would have been expected to gain 30 and Bush to gain 17. This is certainly within an expected range of what actually occurred. TG