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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Big Dog who wrote (78863)11/13/2000 3:39:10 PM
From: Big Dog  Respond to of 95453
 
From Frost today:

The political factor (short-term) - The presidential election will likely have a short-term mostly psychological impact on the oil service stocks. A Bush victory in the presidential election would likely give the oil service stocks a quick 5% jump near-term, which would likely be followed by steady longer-term improvements. A Gore victory, on the other hand, would likely send oil service stocks 10% lower near-term. However, even under the scenario of a Gore victory, the strong underlying macro fundamentals of the oil service sector would ultimately drive oil service stock prices higher, albeit at a slower rate than would be likely under a Bush presidency.

Winter weather (medium-term) - The recent spate of warmer-than normal winters has been driven more by El Niño and La Niña factors than by the potential effects of global warming. Therefore, as the effects of El Niño and La Niña ebb, the likelihood of a more normal winter this year becomes increasingly likely. Even a repeat of last winter's warm weather would likely support natural gas prices above $3 per Mcf. A "normal" winter could easily lead to natural gas demand increases in the double-digit range and support prices north of $5 per Mcf. From the weather standpoint, we currently embrace what we consider to be a conservative scenario that falls somewhere in the middle. Under any of those three weather scenarios, the economics would continue to support much higher levels of natural gas directed drilling activity throughout North America. Meanwhile, a protracted cold winter should also support higher heating oil and crude demand and prices in the U.S. and Europe, thereby delaying the expected 2001 crude price decline forecasted by many analysts. In short, colder weather will likely lead to higher oil service stock prices at least through the January - February 2001 time frame.

The global economic outlook (longer-term) - Most major stock benchmark indices are down year-to-date or are pointing down recently. We believe this points to investor expectations for a worldwide economic slowdown. A global economic slowdown would further lead to less demand for crude, lower crude prices, and ultimately less worldwide oil directed drilling activity --- in effect, under-cutting the international drilling recovery currently underway. While we believe current high oil prices will lead to a slowing of global economic growth, we do not expect economic recession (i.e. negative economic growth). It follows from that assessment that we expect growth in worldwide crude demand to slow, but not decline to negative. To support that belief, we point to 1998. During that year, growth of several global economies did turn negative. The Asian economy collapsed, and the South American and European economies declined. Only the U.S. economy continued to grow in 1998. During that economically bleak year, worldwide demand for crude oil still managed to increase 0.5% over 1997. We do not currently anticipate that the global economic outlook for 2001 is as bleak as 1998 was. In fact, we continue to expect meaningful crude oil demand growth of approximately 2.4% in 2001. Given the scenario of continued strong worldwide crude demand growth, we believe the longer-term outlook for oilfield service stocks remains favorable. We believe that outlook is not currently priced into most oilfield service stocks. Accordingly, we believe many oilfield service stocks will trade meaningfully higher over the longer-term as this outlook becomes factored into the stocks.

Summary - The combination of these three factors leads us to conclude that it remains prudent for investors to add to positions in select oilfield service stocks, particularly after any potential down-side risk associated with a possible Gore election victory has been priced into the stocks.



To: Big Dog who wrote (78863)11/13/2000 9:57:25 PM
From: Razorbak  Respond to of 95453
 
"Friede Goldman Halter Announces Financial Results"

Monday November 13, 7:07 pm Eastern Time

Press Release

GULFPORT, Miss.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Nov. 13, 2000--Friede Goldman Halter, Inc. (NYSE:FGH - news) today announced third-quarter 2000 results for the period ending September 30, 2000. The Company reported a net loss of $9.4 million, or $0.19 per fully diluted share, on revenue of $162.2 million. For the comparable 1999 period, the Company reported a net loss of $8.5 million, or $0.36 per fully diluted share. Results for the current period incorporate the results of Halter Marine Group, which was acquired by Friede Goldman International in a stock-for-stock merger on November 3, 1999.

The Offshore segment's operating loss of $4.0 million on revenues of $88.6 million contributed to the Company's financial results for the quarter mainly due to cost overruns on existing contracts. The Engineered Products and Vessels segments reported profit from operations for the quarter.

The Company continued its efforts to reduce selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses during the quarter. SG&A expenses totaled $14.4 million for the quarter, compared to $21.1 million in the third quarter of 1999 for the combined companies on a pro-forma basis. At the current run rate, SG&A for fiscal year end 2000 is expected to be less than $60.0 million compared to the $86.2 million for the combined companies on a pro forma basis in fiscal 1999.

Backlog for the Company totaled $403.5 million at September 30, 2000 and consisted of $171.3 million from the Offshore segment, $144.1 million from the Vessels segment and $88.1 million from the Engineered Products segment. Backlog at September 30, 2000 does not include approximately $53.0 million in contracts that were announced in October.

On October 24, 2000, the Company entered into a three year $110.0 million credit agreement, which is comprised of a $70.0 million line of credit and a $40.0 million term loan.

``We've had several recent significant events,'' said John Alford, chief executive officer and president of Friede Goldman Halter. ``First, the completion of $110.0 million of financing and the sale of our boat repair yards improved our financial condition. Second, the backlog announced in the last two months and the projects currently being negotiated, are indications that market conditions are improving. We had expected this increase in activity to develop earlier and this is reflected in our results. With commodity prices remaining strong, we expect to see increased activity as we move into 2001. Third, we have completed significant consolidation through reduction in the number of our facilities. We feel we are now at the optimum size to sustain anticipated improved market conditions. We have continued to reduce SG&A and will pursue more efficient operations.''

Since the merger of approximately a year ago, the Company has reduced SG&A, debt and the number of facilities along with successfully consolidating the offshore division. The Company has also spent significant efforts and resources on two unprofitable contracts that started construction in 1998. The Company is focused on completing these projects as soon as possible and continuing its efforts towards building profitable backlog. The Company is starting to see improved market conditions based on recent project announcements. Its three business segments have historically had strong market share and customer loyalty and the Company intends to capitalize on these strengths going forward.

Friede Goldman Halter is a world leader in the design and manufacture of equipment for the maritime and offshore energy industries. Its operating units are Friede Goldman Offshore (construction, upgrade and repair of drilling units, mobile production units and offshore construction equipment), Halter Marine (construction of ocean-going vessels for commercial and governmental markets), FGH Engineered Products Group (design and manufacture of cranes, winches, mooring systems and marine deck equipment), and Friede & Goldman Ltd. (naval architecture and marine engineering).

Note: This press release includes certain statements that may be deemed to be ``forward-looking statements'' within the meaning of Section 27A of The Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, included in this press release that address activities, events or developments that Friede Goldman Halter expects, believes or anticipates will or may occur in the future, are forward-looking statements. These statements are based on certain assumptions and analyses made by Friede Goldman Halter, Inc. in light of its experience and its perception of historical trends, current conditions, expected future developments and other factors it believes are appropriate in the circumstances. Such statements are subject to a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the control of Friede Goldman Halter and which are discussed in Friede Goldman Halter's Registration Statement on Form S-3, the 1999 Annual Report on Form 10-K, and subsequent Forms 10-Q. Investors are cautioned that any such statements are not guarantees of future performance and that actual results or developments may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements.


FRIEDE GOLDMAN HALTER, INC.
Consolidated Income Statement and Other Information by Segment
Nine Months Ended September 30, 1999
(Unaudited)
(in millions)

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
Sept 30 Sept 30
2000 1999 2000 1999
--------- -------- --------- ---------
Contract revenue earned $ 162.2 $ 51.7 $ 568.0 $ 330.3
Cost of revenue earned 153.6 56.1 546.1 288.7
--------- -------- --------- ---------
Gross profit (loss) 8.6 (4.4) 21.9 41.6
Selling, general and
administrative expenses 14.3 6.7 43.0 24.3
Amortization of goodwill 1.9 0.4 5.7 0.6
--------- -------- --------- ---------
Operating income (loss) (7.6) (11.5) (26.8) 16.7
Other expense (income):
Interest expense 7.9 1.4 25.5 3.1
Other, net (0.6) -- 0.1 --
--------- -------- --------- ---------

Income (loss) before income
taxes (14.9) (12.9) (52.4) 13.6
Income tax expense (benefit) (5.5) (4.4) (21.8) 4.1
--------- -------- --------- ---------
Net income (loss) $ (9.4) $ (8.5) $ (30.6) $ 9.5
========= ======== ========= =========

Net income (loss) per share $ (0.19)$ (0.36)$ (0.71)$ 0.41
Net income (loss) per share,
diluted $ (0.19)$ (0.36)$ (0.71)$ 0.40
Weighted average shares
outstanding:
Basic 48.8 23.4 43.2 23.4
Diluted 48.8 23.4 43.2 23.6

Depreciation expense:
Included in cost of
revenue earned 4.6 3.1 14.1 6.0
Included in SG&A expenses 0.2 -.06 1.2 1.0
--------- -------- --------- ---------
Total depreciation 4.8 2.5 15.3 7.0
========= ======== ========= =========

PART I - FINANCIAL INFORMATION

Item 1 - Financial Statements

FRIEDE GOLDMAN HALTER, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
(in thousands)

September 30, December 31,
2000 1999
---------- ----------
ASSETS (Unaudited)
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents $ 70,550 $ 15,124
Accounts receivable 69,306 143,037
Income tax receivable 591 38,657
Inventories 45,033 45,261
Costs and estimated earnings
in excess of billings on
uncompleted contracts 80,409 143,769
Prepaid expenses and other 12,879 17,048
Deferred income tax asset 16,950 45,403
---------- ----------
Total current assets 295,718 448,299
---------- ----------

Investment in unconsolidated
subsidiary 13,035 13,035
Property, plant and equipment,
net of accumulated depreciation 267,696 334,642
Goodwill, net of accumulated
amortization 196,666 195,137
Other assets 9,035 9,779
---------- ----------
$ 782,150 $1,000,892
========== ==========

LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY

Current liabilities:
Short-term debt, including
current portion of long-term
debt $ 7,399 $ 13,645
Accounts payable 96,251 115,918
Accrued liabilities 69,197 117,966
Reserve for losses on
uncompleted contracts 32,222 66,226
Billings in excess of costs
and estimated earnings on
uncompleted contracts 41,829 50,725
--------- ---------
Total current liabilities 246,898 364,480
Deferred income tax liability 10,485 56,190
Long-term debt, less current
portion 209,319 299,075
Other 445 --
--------- ---------
Total liabilities 467,147 719,745
--------- ---------

Deferred government subsidy, net
of accumulated amortization 30,363 33,026

Stockholders' equity:
Preferred stock -- --
Common stock 487 400
Additional paid-in capital 299,571 230,166
Retained earnings (deficit) (12,110) 18,520
Treasury stock (199) --
Accumulated other comprehensive
income (loss) (3,109) (965)
--------- ----------
Total stockholders' equity 284,640 248,121
--------- ----------
$ 782,150 $1,000,892
========= ==========

FRIEDE GOLDMAN HALTER, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(Unaudited)
(in thousands, except per share amounts)

Three months ended Nine months ended
September 30, September 30,
--------------------- ---------------------
2000 1999 2000 1999
--------- --------- --------- ---------
Contract revenue
earned $ 162,180 $ 51,699 $ 568,039 $ 330,345

Cost of revenue
earned 153,551 56,132 546,182 288,762
--------- --------- --------- ---------
Gross profit (loss) 8,629 (4,433) 21,857 41,583

Selling, general and
administrative expenses 14,376 6,720 43,008 24,299
Amortization of goodwill 1,881 380 5,643 555
--------- --------- --------- ---------
Operating
income (loss) (7,628) (11,533) (26,794) 16,729
--------- --------- --------- ---------
Other expense:
Interest
expense, net 7,871 1,404 25,542 3,109
Other (590) 16 50 61
--------- --------- --------- ---------
Total other
expense 7,281 1,420 25,592 3,170
--------- --------- --------- ---------
Income (loss)
before income
taxes (14,909) (12,953) (52,386) 13,559
Provision for
income tax
expense (benefit) (5,507) (4,425) (21,766) 4,051
--------- --------- --------- ---------
Net income (loss) $ (9,402) $ (8,528) $ (30,620) $ 9,508
========= ========= ========= =========

Net income
(loss) per share:
Basic $ (0.19) $ (0.36) $ (0.71) $ 0.41
========= ========= ========= =========
Diluted $ (0.19) $ (0.36) $ (0.71) $ 0.40
========= ========= ========= =========

Weighted average
shares outstanding:
Basic 48,778 23,428 43,234 23,353
Diluted 48,778 23,428 43,234 23,586


The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements.

2. Business Segments

Effective with the merger with HMG on November 3, 1999, the Company classifies its business into three segments: Vessels, Offshore, and Engineered Products. Operations within the Vessels segment include the new construction and repair of a wide variety of vessels for the government, offshore energy and commercial markets. Effective with the sale of the Company's vessel repair business as discussed Note 8, the Company is no longer engaged in the business of vessel repair. Operations within the Offshore segment include the new construction, conversion and repair of mobile offshore drilling rigs and production platforms. Operations within the Engineered Products segment include the design, manufacture and marketing of cranes, mooring systems, derricks, and other marine deck equipment.

The Company evaluates the performance of its segments based upon income before interest and income taxes as these expenses are not allocated to the segments.

Selected information as to the operations of the Company by segment is set forth below (in thousands).


Three months ended September 30, 2000
-------------------------------------
Engineered
Vessels Offshore Products Corporate Total
------- -------- ---------- --------- -----
Revenues $ 40,960 $ 88,591 $ 32,629 $ - $ 162,180

Operating
income
(loss) $ 673 $ (4,015) $ 4,285 $ (8,571) $ (7,628)

Total
assets $ 118,117 $ 277,611 $ 59,553 $ 326,869 $ 782,150

Three months ended September 30, 1999
-------------------------------------
Engineered
Offshore Products Corporate Eliminations Total
-------- ---------- --------- ------------ -----
Revenues $ 46,503 $ 5,196 $ - $ - $ 51,699

Operating
income
(loss) $ (8,766) $ (689) $ (2,078) $ - $(11,533)

Total
assets $ 207,708 $ 50,866 $ 65,331 $ (47,844) $276,061

Nine months ended September 30, 2000
------------------------------------
Engineered
Vessels Offshore Products Corporate Total
------- -------- ---------- --------- -----
Revenues $186,126 $292,737 $89,176 $ - $568,039

Operating
income
(loss) $17,407 $(28,232) $7,258 $(23,227) $(26,794)

Nine months ended September 30, 1999
------------------------------------
Engineered
Offshore Products Corporate Total
-------- ---------- --------- -----
Revenues $303,717 $26,628 $ - $330,345

Operating
income
(loss) $24,152 $323 $(7,746) $16,729



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Contact:
Friede Goldman Halter, Inc.
Chris Cunningham, 228/897-4987
www.fgh.com


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