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Technology Stocks : (LVLT) - Level 3 Communications -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: N. David Lessani who wrote (2643)11/14/2000 1:54:12 AM
From: Asymmetric  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3873
 
David,

Sorry, but I don't quite get what was irresponsible
about the posting and link to the Street.Com article.
The present pricing of the stock of this company
makes it worth a closer examination, and I think it
helps others to arrive at a better understanding if
they understand the "other" side of the argument.
Instead of accusing the other party of being short
and/or irresponsible, if you were really confident of
your position in the stock, you would do a better job
of refuting the argument presented in the article in
a factual manner.

Right now, this company is under fire from two fronts:
Gilder attacking the technological strategy, ie basically
the business model of this company, and the bean counters,
analysts, who are attacking the capital structure, who
state this company has insufficient cash to see it thru
2001. This criticism also goes to the heart of the
company's business model, it's assumptions regarding
capital expenditure and future incoming revenues from
sales of dark fiber and telecomm and data services.

This is very bad. Either accusation, if proven out, would
kill this company.

Being no fan of the RBOCs and the Telcos, I would
love to see Level 3 succeed, and do so convincingly.
But what can you tell me, besides the fact that you
will buy more shares, that would convince investors out
there to put their hard earned money into this company?

Do you know what the cash burn rate of this company is?

Do you know why the other CLECs, the ICGs, the GSTs,
the PSInets, the ATTs and the MCI-Worldcoms are all
crashing and burning, and what it is about Level 3
that will allow them to escape a similar fate?

What about Gilder? Is he wrong? If so why?

This stock has not been at $30/share in two years.
But relative valuation is a potential trap. Unless
the questions above can be answered firmly in the
affirmative, a sizeable amount of risk still remains,
it would appear to me.

My deep condolences to all those who invested in
this company at much higher prices. With the entire
telecomm sector being trashed, a leader needs to
emerge...to show it is indeed on firm footing, and
and lend strength to and lead the other CLECs out
of the bloodshed of the recent few months. I hope
Level 3 can be the one. If not, Metropolitan Fiber
would seem to be the next choice. But right now
the questions surrounding this company are extremely
serious ones.

Good luck to all.
Peter