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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Don Pueblo who wrote (75772)	11/15/2000 1:28:37 PM
From: Snowman	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 769670

Probability of Algore making up as many votes is same as him being struck by lightening 30 times.. There's a fantastic article today in The Las Vegas Sun about the votes Algore has picked up thanks to the endless string of Florida recounts. A UNLV economics professor looked into the votes that had been "found" for Algore and compared them to a statistical model of the number of new votes. The results confirmed the suspicions of many. Writes Jace Radke of The Sun, "At one in 49 million, the chances of hitting Megabucks on one spin are slim, but not as slim as the odds that Vice President Al Gore would make up as much ground as he has in the Florida recount, according to a UNLV study. "Economics professor Tom Carroll began running statistical equations Thursday on the net gains both Gore, who gained more than 2,200 votes, and Texas Gov. George W. Bush, who added about 700 votes, have made in the recount. He found that the statistical chances for such large and different totals to occur as a result of random glitches was less than infinitesimal." "'The probability of being struck by lightning is about one in a million,' Carroll said. 'The same person would have to be hit by lightning 30 times to compare with what we've seen in this recount.'" Doesn't this get to the nub of all this? The experts all say that it's so rare a recount overturns a result that it's not worth mentioning, but look how close Algore has come to winning. He's picked up 2,200 votes! Now, a lot of you across the fruited plain are asking, "Where were these 2,200 votes the first time? Gore picked up 600 or 700 votes in Palm Beach County alone. How do you miss that many votes the first time around?" People are getting fed up with all these lawsuits and tumult. Now, I don't know if this will matter in terms of who the public blames, or if their blame even matters. The only way the people's anger could be a factor is if this anger rises to a fever pitch, forcing someone to take an action to end this. What's clear to me out of all of this is that the Gore camp cannot get to where they want to go without doing something about the law. The law is in their way. They've got to go to court because this or that law - like a stoplight - is in their way. They can't wait for the light to change. They've got to cut it down. (Las Vegas Sun: Statistics Point to More Than Random Error in Florida Vote)