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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (37877)11/15/2000 6:40:32 PM
From: Lucretius  Respond to of 436258
 
yep...



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (37877)11/15/2000 7:13:58 PM
From: BigBull  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
Heinz, re bank warnings; does this count:

thestreet.com
These are the worrisome events that caused Merrill Lynch bank analyst Judah Kraushaar today to write in a report, "Credit trends are clearly deteriorating in the banking/financial services industry in general. Non-performing assets on the commercial side bottomed about a year ago. We have now had a full year of accelerating non-performing asset growth and our sense from the banks is that this growth is continuing to accelerate. We are also seeing very wide credit spreads on non-investment grade bond issues, which we view as worrisome. Credit spreads today are as wide as they were in the fall of 1998, and we think that is very deflationary."

Probably not but getting very close to the exposure of a whole lot of bad credits. What the author doesn't really come out and say is that increasing reserves for bad debt nearly always leads to a credit crunch/recession of the good old fashioned variety. If the fed is on hold, and oil prices rise this winter imo a recession is a given. The only question in my mind now is - How bad?