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To: broken_cookie who wrote (5107)11/17/2000 10:38:23 AM
From: tinkershaw  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10934
 
No way is NTAP's beta equal to .8. That would mean that NTAP is 20% less volatile than the overall market.

I've checked two sources now, Yahoo! and MSN, both say .8. This has been one extraordinarily volatile market lately. NTAP been a river of stability in comparison?

I don't know. But beta is a disputed measurement. I've never considered volatility to be a measure of risk. A better metric would be to determine an actual risk measurement separate from stock price movement; ie, something that better measures the chances of relative business failure. There is for example an alternative measure of risk using arbitrage theory, but I just did not want to go there. So in the end utilize mathematics and then adjust for common sense. Common sense indicates to me that as technology companies go, NTAP is a rare breed and much less risky than most. I think the 20% market premium I used in the last calculation is more than adequate to cover this risk even if a .8 beta (as accurate as it may be) does not adequately address the market risk factor.

Tinker