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Strategies & Market Trends : Mr. Pink's Picks: selected event-driven value investments -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mr. Pink who wrote (14537)11/19/2000 7:47:56 PM
From: Cogito  Respond to of 18998
 
Mr. P$nk -

I'd be interested in your comments on the recent activity in CNC. Do you still consider it a good short?

- Allen



To: Mr. Pink who wrote (14537)11/20/2000 9:31:51 AM
From: Wolff  Respond to of 18998
 
At Least 49 Life and Health Insurers Have More Junk Bonds Than Capital, Increasing Vulnerability to Plunge in Junk Bond Prices, Reports Weiss Ratings

www2.marketwatch.com{8B9D1121-A383-47EC-BD2E-DE049BDEB779}

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 20, 2000 8:09:00 AM EST
PALM BEACH GARDENS, Fla., Nov 20, 2000 (BW HealthWire) -- At least 49 life and health insurers whose junk bond holdings exceeded capital at June 30 are vulnerable to the sharp decline in junk bond prices which began in September of this year, according to a recent study by Weiss Ratings, Inc., the only independent provider of insurance company ratings and analyses.

Insurance companies reporting the largest percentage of junk bonds in relation to capital include:

Weiss Junk Junk
Safety Bonds Capital Bonds
Rating $(Mil) $(Mil) Capital

-- Il Annuity & Insurance
Company (Mass.) C 211.9 40.2 527%
-- Capitol Life Insurance
Co. (Colo.) D 51.3 13.7 375%
-- Conseco Direct Life
Insurance Co. (Penn.) D+ 88.7 29.6 299%
-- Fidelity & Guaranty Life
Insurance Co. (Md.) C 536.3 185.2 290%

Weiss Safety Rating: A = Excellent; B = Good; C = Fair; D = Weak; E =
Very Weak

"A high exposure to junk bonds today could have a negative impact down the road on the safety of fixed annuities and whole life policies held by hundreds of thousands of consumers. Although the current decline in the junk bond market does not have an immediate impact on an insurer's financials, since the company can continue to hold the bonds and avoid realizing losses, it could be an advance warning of higher default rates on junk bonds in the future which would have a significant impact on the profits and capital of these insurers," said Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D., chairman of Weiss Ratings.

Overall, the 49 companies hold $41.4 billion in junk bonds, or over 43% of the $95.4 billion held by all 1,095 life insurers reviewed by Weiss. And on average, the 49 companies have $1.20 invested in junk bonds for every dollar of capital, as compared to $0.48 industry-wide.

Weiss does not consider all insurers holding junk bonds as financially weak. Some companies have other offsetting strengths, such as high capital levels or strong stable profits, that can help them avert future financial difficulties and protect the consumer's safety. Therefore, Weiss advises that consumers review both (a) the company's exposure to junk bonds, and (b) the company's Weiss Safety Rating which takes these other factors into account.

Profits Up Moderately

The nation's life and health insurers reported operating profits of $23.1 billion during the first half of 2000, representing a $1.2 billion, or 5.3%, increase over the $21.9 billion recorded in the first half of 1999. Likewise, the industry's bottom line net profit increased to $12.8 billion in the first half of 2000, up $831 million, or 6.9%, compared to the $12.0 billion profit recorded in the first half of 1999.

Notable Upgrades and Downgrades

Among the life, health, and annuity insurers recently reviewed by Weiss, six received upgrades, while 13 were downgraded. Notable upgrades include:

-- Phoenix Home Life Mutual Insurance Co. (N.Y.) from B- to B
-- North Central Life Insurance Co. (Minn.) from C+ to B-
-- Funeral Directors Life Insurance Co. (Texas) from D+ to C-
-- Notable downgrades include:
-- American Community Mutual Insurance Co. (Mich.) from C- to D
-- American Heritage Life Insurance Co. (Fla.) from A- to B+
-- Conseco Direct Life Insurance Co. (Penn.) from C- to D+
-- Conseco Annuity Assurance Co. (Ill.) from C to C-

The Weiss ratings are based on an analysis of a company's risk-adjusted capital, five-year historical profitability, quality of investments, liquidity, and stability. The latter category combines a series of factors including asset growth, premium growth, strength of affiliate companies, and risk diversification.

Weiss issues safety ratings on more than 16,000 financial institutions, including HMOs, life and health insurers, Blue Cross Blue Shield plans, property and casualty insurers, banks, and brokers. Weiss also rates the risk-adjusted performance of more than 10,000 mutual funds. Weiss Ratings is the only major rating agency that receives no compensation from the companies it rates. Revenues are derived strictly from sales of its products to consumers, businesses, and libraries.

Consumers needing more information on the financial safety of a specific company can purchase a rating and summary analysis for as little as $7.95 through the Weiss Ratings web site at www.weissratings.com.

Note to editors: Tables available from Weiss Ratings include a) the 49 insurers with junk bond holdings exceeding capital, and b) national and state listings of strongest and weakest life, health, and annuity insurers.

CONTACT: Yui+Co.
Ellen Yui, 301/270-8571
ellenyui@starpower.net
or
Elizabeth Kelley Grace, 561/989-9855
lizkgrace@aol.com

URL: businesswire.com
Today's News On The Net - Business Wire's full file on the Internet
with Hyperlinks to your home page.

Copyright (C) 2000 Business Wire. All rights reserved.

KEYWORD: FLORIDA
INDUSTRY KEYWORD: BANKING
MEDICAL
INSURANCE



To: Mr. Pink who wrote (14537)11/20/2000 4:50:43 PM
From: Mr_X  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18998
 
Mr. P@#k,

Once again a vicious market brings pain to Mr. X. I need to make some scratch in a hurry. What should i be buying?

Mr. X



To: Mr. Pink who wrote (14537)11/20/2000 5:51:51 PM
From: StockDung  Respond to of 18998
 
SEC Sues Four Over Illegal Sale of Systems of Excellence Stock


Washington, Nov. 20 (Bloomberg) -- Federal authorities accused four Massachusetts residents of reaping more than $7.5 million as beneficiaries of ``a massive fraud'' involving Internet stock touting and sale of unregistered securities.

The Securities and Exchange Commission filed suit against the four -- Brian Jackson, Michael Bosse, Lauri Hegarty and Jeremiah Hegarty -- in federal court in Boston.

The case is an outgrowth of fraud charges against the chairman of Systems of Excellence Inc., though the four Massachusetts residents were not accused of a direct role in the alleged fraud.

``They merely benefited from the fraud,'' said SEC associate enforcement director Thomas Newkirk. ``In that way, they were unjustly enriched.''

From the defendants, the SEC is seeking allegedly ill-gotten gains -- $5.3 million from Jackson; $1.7 million from the Hegartys and $429,453 from Bosse. The SEC is also requesting fines.

Lawyers for the defendants could not be reached for comment.

The SEC said it wants to give the money to a court-appointed receiver who will distribute it to victims of the Systems of Excellence fraud. The SEC said it has collected $12 million in ill- gotten gains from various enforcement actions stemming from its investigation of SOE.

Stock Touting

The now-defunct SOE, whose technology was used to distribute video of the 1997 swearing-in of Congress, has been at the center of a sprawling fraud case over the past four years. Brokers and promoters were accused of touting the stock in return for payment from SOE Chairman Charles O. Huttoe.

Federal prosecutors alleged in 1996 that Huttoe netted $12 million in illegal profit from shares inflated by touting. He was sentenced to 46 months in prison after pleading guilty to securities fraud and money laundering.

In 1997, Huttoe agreed to surrender about $8 million to settle regulators' civil charges, the SEC said.

The new complaint alleges that the Massachusetts defendants sold SOE's unregistered stock that they had purchased in private transactions between January and August 1996. The SEC said that money enabled Huttoe and others to maintain the company's operations and further manipulate the market.

The SEC described defendant Jeremiah Hegarty, 42, as a ``recidivist securities law violator'' who was recruited by a friend to participate in the private placement of SOE securities.

Hegarty, a resident of Osterville, then recruited his wife, Lauri, 42, and his two brothers-in-law, Jackson, 34, and Bosse, 36, both of North Easton, the complaint said. The SEC said Jackson ``became the largest single conduit for the unregistered distribution of SOE shares.''

Jeremiah Hegarty did not receive shares but had trading authority in his wife's account and directed the re-sales of her unregistered stock, the SEC said. The Massachusetts defendants would resell their shares in the open market and then return to SOE for more, the SEC said.

It's against the law to sell unregistered shares acquired in a private placement.

The SEC suspended trading in SOE shares in October 1996.

The company -- previously based in McLean, Virginia, and Coral Gable, Florida -- filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in 1997 and was subsequently liquidated.

Nov/20/2000 17:31 ET

For more stories from Bloomberg News, click here.

(C) Copyright 2000 Bloomberg L.P.



To: Mr. Pink who wrote (14537)11/21/2000 4:16:02 PM
From: RockyBalboa  Respond to of 18998
 
Tuesday November 21, 2:58 pm Eastern Time
Telekom Austria falls 12 percent in U.S. on debut
NEW YORK, Nov 21 (Reuters) - Shares of Austria's telecommunications company, Telekom Austria, (NYSE:TKA - news) fell more than 12 percent on its U.S. debut on Tuesday, after the government radically scaled back the size of the offering in Vienna and New York and priced it at the bottom of its range.

Shares of the state-controlled telecommunications company priced at $7.64 per share, the bottom of the nine to 12 euro range. The Austrian government holding company OelAG had estimated the shares would price at 9 to 12 euros each, or between $7.64 and $10.19.

The company's American depository shares, the equivalent of two common shares, were priced at twice the price of the common shares, or starting at about $15.29 each. Shares opened at $14 and fell to $13-1/4.

In what is Austria's largest IPO, the company sold a total of 128.8 million shares, well below the initial proposal of at least 140 million shares.

In its home country, the company fell over seven percent in record trade, slipping to 7.90 euros from 9 euros before bouncing back to close at 8.35.

Fund managers said the losses reflected anxiety about the global environment for telecommunications stocks, which have fallen heavily this year.

Traders said Tuesday's sellers were believed to include hedge funds and Austrian retail investors who received shares at a five percent discount.

Major institutions were thought to be sitting tight on their shares, waiting for possible gains once the initial nervousness has dissipated.

``I am a little disappointed that the price immediately fell below the issue price,'' said Volker Koester, a fund manager at Merck Finck Invest in Munich.

``But I think we will be back above nine euros in the medium or short term. We are certainly going to hold on.''



To: Mr. Pink who wrote (14537)11/22/2000 11:13:10 AM
From: heraclitus  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 18998
 
Mr. Pink

Thank you for SMDI.

homer



To: Mr. Pink who wrote (14537)11/23/2000 9:53:01 AM
From: If only I'd held  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18998
 
On this Thanksgiving day, I would like to take a moment to thank you sir, for your words of wisdom over the last 2 years. In the past 2 years, I have come to know you, (Mr. Pi$k) and Anthony to be the most standup guys I have met on the net to date. Your shared wisdom is always greatly appreciated. My thanks to you. May you and Mrs. Pink and the rest of your family have an enjoyable, and safe holiday season.